CPI will not trigger a rate hike this cycle.
The market has priced in sticky inflation for months. Nonfarm payrolls beat expectations but bond yields barely moved. Volume on CPI futures is 3.2x average that’s not panic, it’s positioning.
I’m watching the 10Y Treasury yield at 4.35% as a key level. If it holds, I’ll consider shorting USD/JPY on a retest of 154.00.
I’m not touching spot crypto until CPI prints below 3.1% YoY.
The thing that proves me wrong: CPI above 3.4% and the Fed explicitly says “higher for longer.”
What’s your setup? #CPIWatch
Not financial advice. My levels, my risk.
The market has priced in sticky inflation for months. Nonfarm payrolls beat expectations but bond yields barely moved. Volume on CPI futures is 3.2x average that’s not panic, it’s positioning.
I’m watching the 10Y Treasury yield at 4.35% as a key level. If it holds, I’ll consider shorting USD/JPY on a retest of 154.00.
I’m not touching spot crypto until CPI prints below 3.1% YoY.
The thing that proves me wrong: CPI above 3.4% and the Fed explicitly says “higher for longer.”
What’s your setup? #CPIWatch
Not financial advice. My levels, my risk.