$BTC today: Two-Way Trades. Local Short vs. Strong Fundamentals‼️
I am returning to the market after three days of quality rest. The past month was intense, and the reset did a lot of good. Today, I am working across multiple platforms simultaneously, splitting my positions into local shorts (using bet allocations) and a systematic long. This morning, I opened a long position on Bitcoin futures at $78,250.
Why short positions are open (Bearish factors in the moment):The expensive oil factor: Rising oil prices are putting medium-term pressure on the macroeconomy. The minimal decline in annual inflation is merely an echo of the past period. The current surge in energy costs drives up business expenses, which could make high-risk assets look too dangerous to investors tomorrow.
Technical demand deficit: The Coinbase Premium Index on lower timeframes has slipped into negative territory. New spot ETF data is expected tomorrow evening — if an increase in outflows is confirmed, it will become an additional leverage point pushing the price down.
Why the long position is held (Bullish fundamentals):Institutional pressure: Staking and BTC purchases by Strive Asset Management, alongside aggressive Ethereum accumulation by Tom Lee’s structure (Fundstrat), are creating a powerful supply crunch.
The stance of market heavyweights: Arthur Hayes explicitly states that Bitcoin does not care about regulatory compliance and the CLARITY Act — global liquidity will push the price up regardless. Add to this the perpetual optimism of Cathie Wood (Ark Invest) and the expansion of crypto market share on Robinhood.
My trading plan:Global drivers are undeniably on the buyers' side, which is why I am keeping a portion of my capital in longs. However, local risks warrant hedging with shorts (using bet allocations on prediction markets). In the $78,250 long position, I am already progressively moving my stop-loss higher into breakeven.Not financial advice. Protect your capital!
Profits to everyone💰💪
I am returning to the market after three days of quality rest. The past month was intense, and the reset did a lot of good. Today, I am working across multiple platforms simultaneously, splitting my positions into local shorts (using bet allocations) and a systematic long. This morning, I opened a long position on Bitcoin futures at $78,250.
Why short positions are open (Bearish factors in the moment):The expensive oil factor: Rising oil prices are putting medium-term pressure on the macroeconomy. The minimal decline in annual inflation is merely an echo of the past period. The current surge in energy costs drives up business expenses, which could make high-risk assets look too dangerous to investors tomorrow.
Technical demand deficit: The Coinbase Premium Index on lower timeframes has slipped into negative territory. New spot ETF data is expected tomorrow evening — if an increase in outflows is confirmed, it will become an additional leverage point pushing the price down.
Why the long position is held (Bullish fundamentals):Institutional pressure: Staking and BTC purchases by Strive Asset Management, alongside aggressive Ethereum accumulation by Tom Lee’s structure (Fundstrat), are creating a powerful supply crunch.
The stance of market heavyweights: Arthur Hayes explicitly states that Bitcoin does not care about regulatory compliance and the CLARITY Act — global liquidity will push the price up regardless. Add to this the perpetual optimism of Cathie Wood (Ark Invest) and the expansion of crypto market share on Robinhood.
My trading plan:Global drivers are undeniably on the buyers' side, which is why I am keeping a portion of my capital in longs. However, local risks warrant hedging with shorts (using bet allocations on prediction markets). In the $78,250 long position, I am already progressively moving my stop-loss higher into breakeven.Not financial advice. Protect your capital!
Profits to everyone💰💪
