$BTC has never closed two red years back-to-back, and I don't see 2025 breaking that streak.

Price already clawed back most of the drawdown from the recent rip. We've got four full months left to close the remaining ~10% gap to the yearly open at $87.6K — totally doable.

More important than the stat: a green yearly close would confirm the bear is dead and we're officially in the next major cycle. Every prior recovery year after a bear flipped the script from sellers to buyers — not just a bounce, but a structural shift.

That's why these next four months matter. How $BTC reacts here will show us exactly where we are in the bigger cycle. If we hold and grind higher into year-end, it's a clean setup for the 2027–2030 bull run I'm positioning for.

Still long-term bullish. Any dip from here is just more time to stack before the real move.