The biggest bullish change is not an actual U.S. purchase — none has been announced. It is that active accumulation is now being discussed openly at White House level.

The $3B short wipeout explains the speed of the move, not whether it lasts. A sustainable breakout above $70K now needs continued spot demand and a clean retest. Forced buyers alone cannot carry the trend for weeks.

My read: structurally bullish, tactically fragile. If $BTC holds $70K after leverage resets, $75K–$78K becomes realistic. If it loses the breakout zone, much of the squeeze could unwind quickly.

With CLARITY still priced near 26% on Polymarket, Congress remains the biggest uncertainty. Until Treasury presents a real acquisition mechanism, the reserve is still passive — but the political ceiling has clearly moved higher.

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