Stop guessing. Start reading the room.
Before every trade, ask yourself two simple questions:
Where are the buyers?
Where are the sellers?
Recent $SPY puts ran +400% because the setup was screaming one thing: sellers were in control.
Here's what the chart showed:
• Failed to make a new high = sellers stepped in
• Broke support, then rejected the bounce = sellers still there
• 8/21 EMA cross to the downside = momentum confirmed sellers
Three clues. Same answer. Not a guess — a read.
The highest probability trades aren't about predicting where price will go. They're about identifying who's in control right now.
When you see the same story from multiple angles, that's your edge.
Before every trade, ask yourself two simple questions:
Where are the buyers?
Where are the sellers?
Recent $SPY puts ran +400% because the setup was screaming one thing: sellers were in control.
Here's what the chart showed:
• Failed to make a new high = sellers stepped in
• Broke support, then rejected the bounce = sellers still there
• 8/21 EMA cross to the downside = momentum confirmed sellers
Three clues. Same answer. Not a guess — a read.
The highest probability trades aren't about predicting where price will go. They're about identifying who's in control right now.
When you see the same story from multiple angles, that's your edge.