By normal logic, with high interest rates, elevated U.S. Treasury yields, geopolitical conflicts, ETF outflows, tight liquidity, and so on—if those factors had been present in previous cycles, BTC would most likely have fallen much harder. But this time, it never truly saw a real sense of panic-driven stampede.
I don’t think this is necessarily the absolute low point. In the future, it could break below $60,000 and even dip a little further. However, I believe this looks more like a long-term bottoming range rather than a specific bottom price.
The reason is simple: the people who really want to sell have already sold off for the most part, while long-term capital, ETF funds, institutional treasury holdings from listed companies, and other institutional money are continuously absorbing the supply. The market’s cost base has clearly been lifted, and BTC’s bottom is gradually moving upward as institutions enter. the single price level of $63,000 has accumulated to 1.15 million BTC. Across history, this is an extremely rare phenomenon.
Don’t try to guess the exact lowest point. Instead, build positions slowly within the bottom range. If it dips, keep buying; if there’s a sharp sell-off, increase the position size, and stretch the timeline to three or five years. Eat the fish body rather than just the fish head or fish tail—those who truly make money are the ones who, when others are panicking, have the courage to buy their positions little by little in the bottom area.
I don’t think this is necessarily the absolute low point. In the future, it could break below $60,000 and even dip a little further. However, I believe this looks more like a long-term bottoming range rather than a specific bottom price.
The reason is simple: the people who really want to sell have already sold off for the most part, while long-term capital, ETF funds, institutional treasury holdings from listed companies, and other institutional money are continuously absorbing the supply. The market’s cost base has clearly been lifted, and BTC’s bottom is gradually moving upward as institutions enter. the single price level of $63,000 has accumulated to 1.15 million BTC. Across history, this is an extremely rare phenomenon.
Don’t try to guess the exact lowest point. Instead, build positions slowly within the bottom range. If it dips, keep buying; if there’s a sharp sell-off, increase the position size, and stretch the timeline to three or five years. Eat the fish body rather than just the fish head or fish tail—those who truly make money are the ones who, when others are panicking, have the courage to buy their positions little by little in the bottom area.