📊 Market & Crypto Briefing — Friday, 7 August 2026
All times are Muscat time (UTC+4).
🔴🔴 TODAY — 4:00–5:30 PM | EXTREME — WEEK’S #1 RISK
4:30 PM — US July Non-Farm Payrolls
Unemployment rate Average hourly earnings Payroll revisions
The official BLS release is at 8:30 AM ET = 4:30 PM Muscat. Markets are already trading cautiously ahead of it.
Impact: stronger jobs/wages → yields & USD potentially ↑ → BTC/Nasdaq vulnerable. Softer data → Fed tightening expectations potentially ↓ → generally supportive for risk assets, unless weakness is severe enough to trigger recession fears.
Trading danger zone: 4:15–5:15 PM. Expect spreads, liquidation sweeps and rapid reversals around the first reaction.
🟠 Tuesday, 11 August — RBA
8:30 AM — Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision + Statement on Monetary Policy
9:30 AM — RBA press conference
The RBA confirms these times as 2:30 PM and 3:30 PM AEST.
Impact: HIGH for AUD and Asian risk markets; a policy surprise can spill into global equities and crypto.
🔴🔴 Wednesday, 12 August — 4:30 PM | EXTREME
US July CPI + Core CPI
Official release: 8:30 AM ET = 4:30 PM Muscat.
This becomes the next major global catalyst after today's payrolls.
Hot CPI → yields/DXY ↑ → usually negative for BTC and growth assets.
Soft CPI → rate pressure ↓ → potentially strongly risk-on.
Trading danger zone: 4:15–5:15 PM.
🔴 Thursday, 13 August — 4:30 PM | VERY HIGH
US July Producer Price Index (PPI)
Official BLS release: 4:30 PM Muscat.
PPI can either confirm or challenge Wednesday's CPI signal and materially alter Fed expectations.