📊 Bitcoin Cycles Are Repeating — And 2026 Could Hurt
🔥 Bitcoin cycles aren’t random — they follow history, and history is quietly sending a warning.
When looking at the BTC chart, it’s hard to ignore the sequence of ~1400–1450-day cycles, each followed by a deep correction after the peak:
• after 2012–2013 — ~-79%
• after 2017–2018 — ~-81%
• after 2021–2022 — ~-75%
This rhythm is the foundation of the theory suggesting that the 2025–2026 period could bring another major correction, potentially toward the $25,000–$30,000 range.
According to this model, the cycle pressure builds in a repeating structure:
• long expansion → cycle top
• sharp drawdown → accumulation
• next expansion → new cycle top
…and the process repeats.
These models don’t work because they are perfectly precise, but because they reflect the psychological and behavioral cycles of market participants, combined with Bitcoin’s supply dynamics.
Both institutional and retail investors often focus on trend continuation, forgetting that trends are driven by underlying cycles of liquidity, sentiment, and leverage. Even with new variables like ETFs, derivatives, and changing market structure, behavioral patterns have a habit of repeating.
👉 Takeaway: if historical cycles play out once again, a new peak in 2025 could be followed by not just a correction, but a deep retracement into key support zones, potentially around $25,000–$30,000 — historically important accumulation areas.
This is not a price prediction, but a scenario based on historical patterns and statistical behavior. When markets reach cycle extremes, corrections become a matter of when and how deep, not if. 📉🧠
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