$LAB has started messing around again with funding rates charged per hour.
From the order book, after testing a low around 5.5, it didn’t keep selling off with increasing volume—instead, it repeatedly printed a series of bullish candles, pushing the price back toward the moving average area.
This kind of move doesn’t look like a natural rebound; it looks more like the market maker using the funding rate to continuously squeeze shorts.
Recently, LAB’s playbook has been very clear: every time it gets close to funding fee settlement, the order book becomes active. The more shorts there are, the more incentive the market maker has to push upward—using liquidation and stop-loss hunts to drive the price higher;
then once there are more and more buyers chasing, they flip and dump to liquidate the crowd, so both sides of the trade end up paying them.
There are only about a dozen minutes left until funding fees are settled, and this is the most critical time point of the day.
Don’t rush into chasing at this moment. Whether it keeps pumping or suddenly dips, it could just be the market maker sweeping liquidity.
Wait until the funding fee settlement is completed. Watch whether the order book continues to push with rising volume or whether it fades from the highs—then deciding your entry direction will be safer.
Personally, I’m more inclined to wait for signals before acting. If the move has structure, you trade; if it doesn’t, you watch. After all, with coins like this, it’s not about technical indicators—it’s about which side the market maker is planning to liquidate next.
The bullish idea I shared last night has already been gradually realized in the early session today.$ETH
As I told the brothers last night, ETF capital has started flowing back in, institutions have continued to increase their holdings, and with expectations of further rate hikes being delayed, market sentiment has begun to warm up—this rebound is very likely not just a fleeting blip.
So when we saw the pullback, we didn’t hesitate. We continued to lead the brothers to buy on dips at lower levels.
As it turned out, we were right about the direction, and the market didn’t let everyone down. This morning’s rally basically played out as expected.
Many people always like to wait until prices rise before they believe the trend. But the people who really make money are often already on board early, when the market is still full of doubt.
The market won’t stop just because you hesitate. Once a trend forms, the rest is simply to ride the momentum.
Congratulations to the brothers who followed along—the profit continues to expand. Next, we’ll keep watching whether the market can further open up the upside space.
$ETH Those who understand understand, brothers. ETF funds have once again turned to net inflows, and institutions have also begun continuously accumulating BTC and ETH. The amount of large Ethereum staking keeps increasing, and market expectations for rate hikes have been pushed back further. A chain of good news is slowly starting to take effect.
Taken individually, these messages might have limited impact, but put together, it means money is rebuilding confidence.老许公开策略交流群
The price action also gives the answer.
ETH has stabilized repeatedly around the 1500 level. After each pullback, there is incoming capital to support it. Here, it no longer behaves like before where it drops the moment it’s touched. Instead, each dip is met with someone buying, each push lifts the low points, and the large-scale structure is being repaired step by step.
I’ve always said: the truly big move won’t start only after everyone has figured it out.
Earlier, when others were still shouting for 1400 or 1300 near 1500, I had already started positioning in batches at lower levels with my brothers. Now that the trend is beginning to strengthen, our thinking naturally needs to change with the market.
Going with the trend is the fastest way to make money.
As long as the big structure hasn’t been broken, personally I will still maintain a bullish outlook. During the day, I’ll continue to focus mainly on buying more from low levels. Pullbacks are opportunities, not risks.
The market won’t keep waiting for people. Opportunities always belong to those who prepare in advance.
$ETH Those who understand understand, brothers. ETF funds have once again turned to net inflows, and institutions have also begun continuously accumulating BTC and ETH. The amount of large Ethereum staking keeps increasing, and market expectations for rate hikes have been pushed back further. A chain of good news is slowly starting to take effect.
Taken individually, these messages might have limited impact, but put together, it means money is rebuilding confidence.老许公开策略交流群
The price action also gives the answer.
ETH has stabilized repeatedly around the 1500 level. After each pullback, there is incoming capital to support it. Here, it no longer behaves like before where it drops the moment it’s touched. Instead, each dip is met with someone buying, each push lifts the low points, and the large-scale structure is being repaired step by step.
I’ve always said: the truly big move won’t start only after everyone has figured it out.
Earlier, when others were still shouting for 1400 or 1300 near 1500, I had already started positioning in batches at lower levels with my brothers. Now that the trend is beginning to strengthen, our thinking naturally needs to change with the market.
Going with the trend is the fastest way to make money.
As long as the big structure hasn’t been broken, personally I will still maintain a bullish outlook. During the day, I’ll continue to focus mainly on buying more from low levels. Pullbacks are opportunities, not risks.
The market won’t keep waiting for people. Opportunities always belong to those who prepare in advance.
Selling 680,000 yuan worth of U and getting labeled “involved in fraud”—this is something to be truly wary of (avoid the traps)
Recently I came across a real case, and it’s quite typical.
A brother of mine was looking for a seller on an exchange to sell U. The amount was relatively large. Midway through, the other party said they needed to switch to a different bank card for payment, and they kept stressing, “The funds are all from relatives and friends—everything is safe,” and insisting that he should transfer the money first and only then release the coins.
It sounds like a very proper process, right?
But the moment the money arrived, the card was frozen immediately. All 680,000 yuan was marked as involved in fraud—on top of that, it was classified as the same type of flagged card.
What’s even more troublesome is that now, when contacting them, you can only go through the procedures and wait for handling. After waiting for several days, there still wasn’t any clear outcome—only that you should keep waiting.
In fact, this isn’t a rare case in the circle anymore.
The key point isn’t the “trading method,” but that the fund path itself is uncontrollable.
The traps many people fall into are usually:
Seeing “transfer first” makes them let their guard down
Seeing a “friend’s card/relative’s card” makes them lower their risk assessment
The bigger the amount, the easier it is to get led by the nose
But the reality is: once there’s a problem in the fund trail, a card isn’t something you can just say “it’s fine” and have it be fine.
To put it simply, here are a few key points (very real):
For large withdrawals, try not to use any opaque private-card routes
Any temporary card switching is, in essence, a risk point
Once the card is flagged as involved in fraud, the process usually can’t be resolved in a short time
There’s also something many people don’t know:
If the incoming funds are identified as fraud-involved, in some cases they may be subject to direct return/chargeback processing. It’s not something you can necessarily get back just by cooperating.$ALLO
So when it comes to doing OTC in the crypto market now, the core issue isn’t “how big the price spread is.”
It’s: have you controlled the risk chain.
$MU
In one sentence: Whether you can make money is one thing—but whether your funds can safely be withdrawn is another.
Do you know what “a precise liquidation” means? $ETH
Last night’s ETH move had a “great whale” called sat0shi777, basically being singled out by the market.
He held short positions of roughly $90 million worth of ETH—typical of a heavily loaded bearish bet. $ALLO $STAR
Then the price rallied, directly triggering liquidations within a short time:
One liquidation forced the system to close about 316,000 ETH, worth over $50 million, with losses immediately hitting over $4 million.
And at the time, ETH had just pushed up to around 1,700.
But the story wasn’t over.
He still had about $38 million in short positions that hadn’t been liquidated, with the liquidation line at roughly $1,764.
Where is the price now? 1,710.
So there’s only a very narrow buffer left in between.
As for this ETH rebound, the structure is actually very clear:
It’s not simply “good news,” and it’s not a trend reversal—it’s a reverse squeeze after the shorts were piled up too heavily.
After several consecutive quarters of decline, short expectations were too一致, and most of them were basically betting that it would keep breaking down.
Then when the jobs report came out, macro sentiment loosened slightly, and the price leveraged that momentum to move up.
Once it moved up, the dense leveraged zone overhead started to break down.
What you’re seeing as the surge is, in part, being “squeezed” out by the shorts.
Now the market situation is simple:
It’s not one-sided long, and it’s not one-sided short—it’s both sides waiting for the other to die first.
There are two key levels:
1,764 — the final line of defense for the shorts
1,650 — the crucial support to hold for this rebound
The middle part, in plain terms, is the battleground.
One-sentence summary:
This isn’t a bull market rebound, and it isn’t a bear market rebound—it’s leverage liquidating each other.
After non-farm, there was a rebound, but overall it still moved in a rather awkward way. It’s not the kind of trend where capital pushes everything upward at once. It’s more like pulling up while someone is slowly taking profits along the way.
So you’ll see that 1710 rises not decisively, and its pullback is also not decisive—it's more of a back-and-forth grind.
The core issue with this kind of market is essentially this: there’s no sustained capital driving it.
And then there’s one very key point—US stock markets are closed tonight.
This will directly affect liquidity.
With no participation from the US stock market, the market loses a “force that sets the direction.” On the crypto side, it becomes even easier for it to turn into:
Either a mild range-bound grind, or a short move driven suddenly by local capital, but both are hard to sustain.
So in this kind of environment today, it’s actually less suitable to bet on direction.
Because once liquidity drops, the easiest thing for the market to do is—repeat sweeps.
My personal view is quite simple:
It’s not that there’s no opportunity anymore—rather, the pace has slowed down. We temporarily withdrew the short positions we entered last night.
When the pace slows, the difficulty of trading goes up.
The concubine has already decisively broken through the 1710 key resistance line just now, and the short-term liquidity above has basically been quickly swept through. $ETH
This kind of price action is actually quite typical: it’s not a trend starting, but rather first clearing out the positions above.
Many people see a breakout and rush to buy on momentum, but from a structural perspective, this segment looks more like a “liquidity-driven sharp spike,” not a continuation of the uptrend with expanding volume.
The key point is: after the breakout, is there sustained volume and support, or is it just a rally driven by emotion? If it’s the latter, then this kind of upward push usually won’t have strong follow-through.
Also, since tomorrow the U.S. stock market will be closed, liquidity itself will be lower, and the market is likely to fall into a rhythm of “spike up—pull back—then retest.”
So at this level, my thinking is very simple:
If it can’t hold above 1710 again and shows signs of a stall, then this rally is more likely to be viewed as a pre-pullback structure after a liquidity sweep.
At that time, it will make more sense to consider the risk-reward of short positions, rather than chasing direction during the acceleration phase.
The concubine has already decisively broken through the 1710 key resistance line just now, and the short-term liquidity above has basically been quickly swept through. $ETH
This kind of price action is actually quite typical: it’s not a trend starting, but rather first clearing out the positions above.
Many people see a breakout and rush to buy on momentum, but from a structural perspective, this segment looks more like a “liquidity-driven sharp spike,” not a continuation of the uptrend with expanding volume.
The key point is: after the breakout, is there sustained volume and support, or is it just a rally driven by emotion? If it’s the latter, then this kind of upward push usually won’t have strong follow-through.
Also, since tomorrow the U.S. stock market will be closed, liquidity itself will be lower, and the market is likely to fall into a rhythm of “spike up—pull back—then retest.”
So at this level, my thinking is very simple:
If it can’t hold above 1710 again and shows signs of a stall, then this rally is more likely to be viewed as a pre-pullback structure after a liquidity sweep.
At that time, it will make more sense to consider the risk-reward of short positions, rather than chasing direction during the acceleration phase.
Tomorrow the US stock market is closed, and ahead-of-time digestion of the Non-Farm Payrolls will happen together with today—this kind of timing is actually quite crucial.
By normal logic, yesterday’s ETF was still a net outflow of nearly 200 million, so the market itself had a bearish expectation. But the price action took a completely opposite rhythm—it moved upward directly.
This makes it easy to wonder: is this a case of anticipating the opposite and squeezing short sellers?
Because there’s a very clear phenomenon in the market right now: there are actually quite a lot of shorts. Especially after continuous choppy trading, many people tend to position in advance for a pullback.
Once such a consensus expectation becomes too concentrated, it’s actually easier to get counter-squeezed.
But having said that, I’m more inclined to take a neutral view here.
It’s not that we must squeeze shorts, and it’s not that we must flip long. Rather, in this kind of environment, fundamentally it’s a liquidity-driven back-and-forth扫盘 (sweeping the market), and the direction isn’t stable.
So the key isn’t in guessing, but in structure:
If there is structure, follow it; if there isn’t structure, take a break.
What the market fears most isn’t having no action—it’s trading a行情 (market move) with emotions when there’s no structure.
According to past patterns, U.S. tech stocks have sold off sharply, and the market is likely under pressure as well.
But this time, Bitcoin not only didn’t fall—it's actually reclaimed the level above 61,000, which suggests that the market is starting to see a new shift.老许公开策略交流群
I believe this isn’t that capital has suddenly turned optimistic; rather, selling pressure is weakening.
In the recent stretch of consecutive declines, most of those who needed to panic have basically already been shaken out. Now, even if the broader market turns bearish, Bitcoin’s downside has clearly narrowed, indicating that investors are gradually taking positions at lower levels instead of simply dumping.
Last night’s decline in U.S. stocks was mainly due to the drag from the AI sector.
The market has started re-evaluating tech companies’ capital expenditures. Some funds have chosen to lock in profits, so chip stocks have seen a relatively larger pullback.
However, this kind of adjustment at the moment is more about capital rotating within the U.S. stock market, and it hasn’t been rapidly transmitted to the crypto market like in the past.
Also, the Federal Reserve still hasn’t released any clear easing signals. The market is now waiting for tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls data.
If employment data comes in significantly stronger than expected, the U.S. dollar may continue to strengthen, and risk assets could face pressure in the short term. If the data is weaker, it could improve expectations for subsequent policy easing, which would be more favorable for the market.
One more point that can’t be overlooked: even though the U.S.-Iran negotiations are still progressing, differences remain on both sides, so it’s unlikely that a decisive outcome will be reached in the short term. Therefore, the impact of news on price action is likely to be mainly short-term sentiment-driven fluctuations.
My view hasn’t changed.
The market is a bit stronger than a few days ago, but it still hasn’t truly broken out into a new trend.
Until there’s a breakout of key resistance with increased volume, I’d rather treat it as a consolidation and repair phase—not the start of a new uptrend.
Today’s key focus:
BTC: Resistance around 62,000. Only after it holds above that level is there a chance for further upside room to open.
ETH: Resistance around 1,680. After a breakout, watch whether it can continue with volume.
SOL: Resistance around 81.
In terms of trading, continue to focus mainly on intraday shorts. If you don’t understand, don’t trade impulsively—wait for the market to show its direction, then follow the trend. That will give you a higher chance of success.
$TAIKO Like a fleeting bloom. The 5 a.m. pump—honestly, it’s a bit outrageous.
The dog cartel took the price from 0.12 straight up to 0.53; in a short time it moved nearly 300+ points. If you went long, basically you just doubled instantly. At the extreme, there was even a 10x or 20x range.
But the issue is right here.
You’ll notice that in the past while, these shill coins have a very obvious characteristic: they pump fast, and they dump fast too—there’s no lingering or “fighting it out.” $RAVE is also the same kind of operator. Even now, plenty of brothers are still trapped at the top.
It’s not like the old days of slow rise and slow decline. Now it feels more like a task-based operation: first, using an extreme spike to suck out all the liquidity, then immediately flipping and slamming it back down—the whole process is very straightforward.
In essence, this kind of chart isn’t price moving along a trend; it’s sweeping liquidity + clearing positions + resetting the chip structure.
So what you’re seeing isn’t just simple strength, but a contest of funds under extreme emotions.
When they pump, they don’t talk logic. When they dump, they don’t show mercy.
In this environment, it’s definitely a pity that long positions didn’t get to benefit. But short positions can’t be thrown around recklessly either. Because once the market sentiment fades, the pullback speed is often even faster than the pump.
According to past patterns, U.S. tech stocks have sold off sharply, and the market is likely under pressure as well.
But this time, Bitcoin not only didn’t fall—it's actually reclaimed the level above 61,000, which suggests that the market is starting to see a new shift.老许公开策略交流群
I believe this isn’t that capital has suddenly turned optimistic; rather, selling pressure is weakening.
In the recent stretch of consecutive declines, most of those who needed to panic have basically already been shaken out. Now, even if the broader market turns bearish, Bitcoin’s downside has clearly narrowed, indicating that investors are gradually taking positions at lower levels instead of simply dumping.
Last night’s decline in U.S. stocks was mainly due to the drag from the AI sector.
The market has started re-evaluating tech companies’ capital expenditures. Some funds have chosen to lock in profits, so chip stocks have seen a relatively larger pullback.
However, this kind of adjustment at the moment is more about capital rotating within the U.S. stock market, and it hasn’t been rapidly transmitted to the crypto market like in the past.
Also, the Federal Reserve still hasn’t released any clear easing signals. The market is now waiting for tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls data.
If employment data comes in significantly stronger than expected, the U.S. dollar may continue to strengthen, and risk assets could face pressure in the short term. If the data is weaker, it could improve expectations for subsequent policy easing, which would be more favorable for the market.
One more point that can’t be overlooked: even though the U.S.-Iran negotiations are still progressing, differences remain on both sides, so it’s unlikely that a decisive outcome will be reached in the short term. Therefore, the impact of news on price action is likely to be mainly short-term sentiment-driven fluctuations.
My view hasn’t changed.
The market is a bit stronger than a few days ago, but it still hasn’t truly broken out into a new trend.
Until there’s a breakout of key resistance with increased volume, I’d rather treat it as a consolidation and repair phase—not the start of a new uptrend.
Today’s key focus:
BTC: Resistance around 62,000. Only after it holds above that level is there a chance for further upside room to open.
ETH: Resistance around 1,680. After a breakout, watch whether it can continue with volume.
SOL: Resistance around 81.
In terms of trading, continue to focus mainly on intraday shorts. If you don’t understand, don’t trade impulsively—wait for the market to show its direction, then follow the trend. That will give you a higher chance of success.
$ETH July’s open-door strong start was given by the mistress!!!
We’re continuing to strategize and build the groundwork. Our strength is undeniable—every follower will be treated with care and attention. No after-the-fact talk—an absolutely early factual pick.
$ETH The secondary high midday session volume spike sent it higher—its peak just barely touched the 1600 resistance level that we repeatedly emphasized in the early session.
The 1600 short orders that were placed in advance have already filled successfully. For this leg, we’ve secured nearly double the expected profit potential.
That said, in my view, this pullback hasn’t finished yet.
1600 is not only a whole-number level, but also a short-term high-density trading zone. After pushing higher, the trading volume didn’t continue to expand—instead it started to shrink. This indicates there isn’t enough momentum from chasing-buyers, and sell pressure from above still remains.
As long as price doesn’t break out and hold above 1600 on increasing volume, rebounds are more likely to be about repairing the move rather than a trend reversal.
For brothers who are currently in cash, around 1575–1585 you can still consider building short positions in batches, and strictly place your stop-loss.
Targets: first look at 1550. After a break below, then watch the area around 1520.
Trading isn’t about who enters first—it’s about who can act decisively from a high-probability position.
Good morning, everyone. The first trading day of July, and the market still hasn’t given a clear direction.
Many people feel recent market action is boring—up a little every day, down a little every day. In fact, this kind of setup is the easiest to lose money in.
Why? Because the market has entered a period of information vacuum.
The negative news that needed to be digested has mostly already been digested, but new positive catalysts have still not appeared. Naturally, capital won’t rush to launch a trending market.
So every upswing you see recently is more like short-term funds scrambling to catch a rebound, rather than big money beginning to enter.
There’s another phenomenon worth noting.
Although BTC has been holding key support, altcoins have clearly been weaker. This suggests that market capital is becoming increasingly concentrated, and risk appetite hasn’t truly recovered yet.
Also, July itself is a month that tends to amplify volatility.
Nonfarm payrolls, CPI, and Fed speeches will be released throughout the month. Before these data land, many institutions will proactively reduce positions and wait for a clearer direction. As a result, in the short term the market is more likely to show a "back-and-forth sweep" pattern rather than continuous one-way rallies.
My view is still very clear.
The most important thing now isn’t guessing the bottom, but waiting for the market to show its direction.
If BTC can regain and hold above 60,000, and trading volume expands in sync, then the repair rally may still have room to continue;
On the other hand, as long as it can’t hold above that level after repeated attempts, every rebound is more suitable to be treated as profit-taking from higher levels rather than chasing the move.
Key levels to watch today
📍BTC: Support around 57,000; resistance around 60,000.
📍ETH: Support around 1,500; above 1,600 is still the short-term line in the sand.
📍SOL: Support around 70.
Trading approach:
At present, we should still treat the market as range-bound but weak. Be patient and wait for high-probability opportunities—don’t rush into trades.
The truly profitable traders aren’t the ones with the most trading次数; they’re the best at waiting.
July has just started. You don’t need to make the most money on day one—you just need to get the rhythm right.
This surge, put simply, is everyone betting on today’s news. The closer it gets to the time of release, the easier it is for market sentiment to get ignited, and the number of FOMO buyers keeps growing.
But here’s the interesting part: in this kind of market, the ones who truly make money are often not the last people who rush in, but the funds that were already positioned early.
Now the price is already around 0.245, and this spot happens to align with daily resistance.
You’ll notice that every time it pushes up to this level, some people rush to buy while others rush to sell—the order book starts getting especially active.
Why?
Because the people who bought earlier at lower levels already have solid profits. They may not even wait for the news release; instead, they prefer to gradually realize gains while the market is at its most excited.
So the next likely scenario is: price keeps rising, but it gets harder and harder to make money.
If the news continues to build up, there’s a chance it can still push higher for a bit;
but once market sentiment starts cooling down, the pullback won’t be slow.
My thinking is very simple:
If you already have a position, you can keep watching the news build-up and be sure to take profit with stop targets.
If you don’t have a position, don’t let two big bullish candles throw off your timing. Wait until it truly holds above the resistance level, and chasing later will feel a lot more comfortable than rushing in now.
Markets have opportunities every day, but good entry points aren’t always there.
Good morning, everyone. The first trading day of July, and the market still hasn’t given a clear direction.
Many people feel recent market action is boring—up a little every day, down a little every day. In fact, this kind of setup is the easiest to lose money in.
Why? Because the market has entered a period of information vacuum.
The negative news that needed to be digested has mostly already been digested, but new positive catalysts have still not appeared. Naturally, capital won’t rush to launch a trending market.
So every upswing you see recently is more like short-term funds scrambling to catch a rebound, rather than big money beginning to enter.
There’s another phenomenon worth noting.
Although BTC has been holding key support, altcoins have clearly been weaker. This suggests that market capital is becoming increasingly concentrated, and risk appetite hasn’t truly recovered yet.
Also, July itself is a month that tends to amplify volatility.
Nonfarm payrolls, CPI, and Fed speeches will be released throughout the month. Before these data land, many institutions will proactively reduce positions and wait for a clearer direction. As a result, in the short term the market is more likely to show a "back-and-forth sweep" pattern rather than continuous one-way rallies.
My view is still very clear.
The most important thing now isn’t guessing the bottom, but waiting for the market to show its direction.
If BTC can regain and hold above 60,000, and trading volume expands in sync, then the repair rally may still have room to continue;
On the other hand, as long as it can’t hold above that level after repeated attempts, every rebound is more suitable to be treated as profit-taking from higher levels rather than chasing the move.
Key levels to watch today
📍BTC: Support around 57,000; resistance around 60,000.
📍ETH: Support around 1,500; above 1,600 is still the short-term line in the sand.
📍SOL: Support around 70.
Trading approach:
At present, we should still treat the market as range-bound but weak. Be patient and wait for high-probability opportunities—don’t rush into trades.
The truly profitable traders aren’t the ones with the most trading次数; they’re the best at waiting.
July has just started. You don’t need to make the most money on day one—you just need to get the rhythm right.
$ETH BlackRock is still steadily releasing shares/chips. At the same time, the market lacks new positive catalysts, so capital never manages to form a unified force. Naturally, it’s hard for any rebound to break out into sustained momentum.
More importantly, today is also the close of the monthly chart.
At this kind of time point, many institutions control their positions and won’t easily trigger a trend move. That’s why you’ll notice the market keeps seeing shrink-volume rebounds and volume expansion followed by pullbacks. Every time prices are pushed up, there’s no follow-through capital to continue.
There’s another detail worth paying attention to.
In recent rebounds, the trading volume not only didn’t expand—it has been getting smaller each time, clearly indicating that chase-buying demand is insufficient.
On the surface, the price is rising. In reality, it’s just a small amount of capital pushing the price higher, while true large funds haven’t stepped in.
This kind of price action most easily makes retail traders mistakenly think the market has already bottomed out, so they rush in to buy the dip.
But the main force exploits exactly this sentiment to keep exchanging positions at higher levels. Once the incoming “bag-holder” capital starts to decrease, prices can easily slip back into a bearish rhythm again.
So my thinking hasn’t changed.
Until the trend is truly reversed, treat every rebound primarily as a correction/repair rather than a reversal.
In terms of trading, keep looking for rebounds to find resistance; focus mainly on going short at high levels.
If you can’t understand it, don’t trade wildly. Once you understand, then act. Rhythm matters more than direction.
For the more aggressive brothers, at the current price you can set up a base position short
Big BTC at the current price: 59370 - Target: 58000
ETH at the current price: 1584 - Target: 1535-1510
For SOL, don’t short for now. It’s currently being influenced by on-chain memes, and it has still been relatively strong recently.
$ETH $BTC It has already doubled. If you want to keep up, the steady ones can take some profit, set a solid stop to protect the principal loss, and continue looking toward the target 1535
You always say you’re a genius, but here there are geniuses everywhere!!!
If you want to follow the trades, message me privately. No paid group 老许公开策略交流群
$ETH BlackRock is still steadily releasing shares/chips. At the same time, the market lacks new positive catalysts, so capital never manages to form a unified force. Naturally, it’s hard for any rebound to break out into sustained momentum.
More importantly, today is also the close of the monthly chart.
At this kind of time point, many institutions control their positions and won’t easily trigger a trend move. That’s why you’ll notice the market keeps seeing shrink-volume rebounds and volume expansion followed by pullbacks. Every time prices are pushed up, there’s no follow-through capital to continue.
There’s another detail worth paying attention to.
In recent rebounds, the trading volume not only didn’t expand—it has been getting smaller each time, clearly indicating that chase-buying demand is insufficient.
On the surface, the price is rising. In reality, it’s just a small amount of capital pushing the price higher, while true large funds haven’t stepped in.
This kind of price action most easily makes retail traders mistakenly think the market has already bottomed out, so they rush in to buy the dip.
But the main force exploits exactly this sentiment to keep exchanging positions at higher levels. Once the incoming “bag-holder” capital starts to decrease, prices can easily slip back into a bearish rhythm again.
So my thinking hasn’t changed.
Until the trend is truly reversed, treat every rebound primarily as a correction/repair rather than a reversal.
In terms of trading, keep looking for rebounds to find resistance; focus mainly on going short at high levels.
If you can’t understand it, don’t trade wildly. Once you understand, then act. Rhythm matters more than direction.
For the more aggressive brothers, at the current price you can set up a base position short
Big BTC at the current price: 59370 - Target: 58000
ETH at the current price: 1584 - Target: 1535-1510
For SOL, don’t short for now. It’s currently being influenced by on-chain memes, and it has still been relatively strong recently.
$ETH BlackRock is still steadily releasing shares/chips. At the same time, the market lacks new positive catalysts, so capital never manages to form a unified force. Naturally, it’s hard for any rebound to break out into sustained momentum.
More importantly, today is also the close of the monthly chart.
At this kind of time point, many institutions control their positions and won’t easily trigger a trend move. That’s why you’ll notice the market keeps seeing shrink-volume rebounds and volume expansion followed by pullbacks. Every time prices are pushed up, there’s no follow-through capital to continue.
There’s another detail worth paying attention to.
In recent rebounds, the trading volume not only didn’t expand—it has been getting smaller each time, clearly indicating that chase-buying demand is insufficient.
On the surface, the price is rising. In reality, it’s just a small amount of capital pushing the price higher, while true large funds haven’t stepped in.
This kind of price action most easily makes retail traders mistakenly think the market has already bottomed out, so they rush in to buy the dip.
But the main force exploits exactly this sentiment to keep exchanging positions at higher levels. Once the incoming “bag-holder” capital starts to decrease, prices can easily slip back into a bearish rhythm again.
So my thinking hasn’t changed.
Until the trend is truly reversed, treat every rebound primarily as a correction/repair rather than a reversal.
In terms of trading, keep looking for rebounds to find resistance; focus mainly on going short at high levels.
If you can’t understand it, don’t trade wildly. Once you understand, then act. Rhythm matters more than direction.
For the more aggressive brothers, at the current price you can set up a base position short
Big BTC at the current price: 59370 - Target: 58000
ETH at the current price: 1584 - Target: 1535-1510
For SOL, don’t short for now. It’s currently being influenced by on-chain memes, and it has still been relatively strong recently.
Brothers, good morning!!! Today is the last trading day of June, and it’s also the timing for many institutions to rebalance monthly positions and adjust their quarterly allocations.
At this kind of time, the market often shows a particular characteristic: the direction may not appear immediately, but money starts lining up early.
Recently, BTC has been trading back and forth around 60,000. Many people think the price action is boring, but in my view, this consolidation isn’t that there’s no opportunity—it’s waiting for new capital to reset the valuation.
You’ll notice that in recent drops, there hasn’t been a sustained panic sell-off, and the rebounds have also lacked FOMO chasing. This suggests that the order book liquidity is relatively stable right now. What’s really affecting the market isn’t retail traders—it’s who is the first to push incremental capital into the market.
There’s also another phenomenon worth paying attention to.
Recently, many strong altcoins have started to break away from BTC and move independently. This often means that the market’s risk appetite is gradually recovering.
Even though it’s not enough to prove that a bull market is back, it at least indicates that capital has begun trying to find new opportunities to make money, instead of defending at all costs.
What you really need to watch this week isn’t who says the bull market is here or who says the bear market is coming, but whether the first week of July will see volume pick up again.
If trading volume can expand in tandem, and BTC reclaims and holds above 60,000, then market sentiment will see a clear recovery;
If volume remains low and it continues to chop, then most likely it will keep range-trading—shaking out the impatient people.
My view is simple:
It’s not that the market is weak—the market is just missing a real catalyst that can ignite sentiment.
Until that signal appears, short-term trading is still the most comfortable rhythm.
Key levels to watch:
BTC: 58,500—61,000
ETH: 1,550—1,650
SOL: 72—77
Trading isn’t about who can guess more accurately—it’s about who can stand on the right side of direction the first time when capital truly moves in.