👎👎 A decrease in interest rates by the Federal Reserve (FED) is usually a positive signal for Bitcoin. 👎
1. Decrease in interest rates → Flow of money into risky assets
• When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the cost of borrowing money becomes lower.
• Investors are less attracted to 'safe' assets like bonds (low interest rates), so they look for riskier assets with higher returns such as:
• Technology stocks
• Yellow
• And Bitcoin
• Result: Flow of money into the cryptocurrency market → Price increase.
2. Inflation fears → Bitcoin is the 'digital gold'
• Low interest rates lead to an increase in the money supply and the risk of causing inflation.
• The supply of Bitcoin is limited (21 million Bitcoins) → becomes an 'inflation hedge' like gold.
• Many large investors see Bitcoin as a 'store of value' during times of currency depreciation.
3. Signals of monetary policy easing → Positive market sentiment
• Rate cuts imposed by the Federal Reserve are often accompanied by signals to support economic growth and reduce financial pressures.
• This increases optimism and enhances the appetite for risk, especially in the cryptocurrency space.
4. Bitcoin reacts strongly to expectations, not just actions
• Cryptocurrency markets often react before interest rates actually decrease.
• Hints from the Federal Reserve about cutting interest rates (cautious tone) → Bitcoin's price may rise sharply due to investor expectations.
A real-life example:
• During major interest rate cuts (2019, 2020, 2023), Bitcoin prices sharply increased in the following months.
• March 2020: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates to 0% → Bitcoin's price rose from about $5,000 to about $60,000 within a year.
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