btc_cycle

BTC Monthly Reality Check
📉 Bitcoin (1M TF)
This is not a dip — it’s the start of a bear market phase.
What the chart is saying:
BTC has topped near the upper boundary of the long-term rising channel.
Monthly momentum is fading after a distribution range.
The current move looks like the first leg down, not a continuation.
History shows BTC doesn’t go parabolic twice in the same cycle.
What to expect:
A multi-month / multi-year corrective phase.
Lower highs, deep retracements, and long consolidation.
The real expansion leg comes in the next cycle, not this one.
🧠 Smart money preserves capital in this phase — it doesn’t chase upside.
Survive the bear → position for the next cycle.
Markets reward patience, not hope.
#BearMarke #btc_cycle #DOTUSD #WriteToEarnUpgrade #Follow_Like_Comment

BTC Reality Check — What Price Action & the 4-Year Cycle Are Saying

Ignore the noise.
Zoom out to the monthly chart — Bitcoin has already completed its cycle expansion phase.

Every 4-year cycle follows the same rhythm: ➡️ Accumulation
➡️ Expansion
➡️ Distribution
➡️ Reset

Right now, price action confirms we are past expansion.

📉 What the chart is telling us

Price topped near the upper boundary of the long-term channel

Momentum has weakened on higher timeframes

Monthly candles are showing rejection, not continuation

Structure is no longer impulsive — it’s corrective

This is not how new bull cycles start.

🧭 4-Year Cycle Reality Historically:

BTC always retraces 70–85% from cycle highs

Previous high becomes future resistance

Price revisits deep value zones before the next accumulation phase

📌 High-probability downside zone:
$28K – $32K
This aligns with:

Macro demand

Long-term trend support

Prior cycle breakout base

🚫 What this is NOT

Not a “crash prediction”

Not bearish emotion

Not FUD

It’s simply how Bitcoin has moved every single cycle.

💡 Final thought Bull markets are born in disbelief,
not during post-ATH euphoria.

Let price complete its cycle — opportunity is created in patience.

Not financial advice. Just price action & cycle data.
#BTCVSGOLD #Binance #btc_cycle #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BinanceHODLerBREV #bear_market

Ciclo di BTC in cambiamento? – La nuova visione di Cathie Wood

🔶 Cathie Wood afferma che il classico ciclo di 4 anni di Bitcoin è in cambiamento
🔶 Motivo: Acquisti istituzionali massicci + ETF che stabilizzano la volatilità
🔶 Impatto: BTC potrebbe muoversi in cicli più lunghi e fluidi invece di forti pump guidati dal dimezzamento
🔶 Prospettiva di mercato: Le istituzioni ora agiscono come "ancore di prezzo", riducendo i crolli estremi
🔶 Sentiment: Ottimista a lungo termine — BTC sta diventando un asset macro, non solo un gioco di dimezzamento
$BTC

#btc_cycle