ppi

Twenty-four hours after the PPI shock, the market has entered a phase of “liquidity digestion.” With no new high-impact macro data today, current price action is the real stress test for our thesis.
Based on FIG’s reporting, Fragoso Investment Group is Long $BTC at the time of publication. Positions may change at any time.
Data Analysis and Divergence Flash:
The DXY (97.78) has failed to rebound despite the absence of news, confirming that yesterday’s break below 98.00 was not an isolated event, but a structural shift in sentiment. The US10Y (4.274) shows slight upward pressure versus yesterday, but remains significantly below the post-CPI panic levels (4.40%+).
The Persistent Lie: The media will try to frame any minor pullback in Gold or BTC as “profit-taking driven by fears of a hawkish Fed.” That is false.
The Forensic Reality: We are looking at a mean reversion phase. After yesterday’s explosive rally, assets are searching for efficiency. The fact that the DXY continues printing lows within its 48-hour range (97.64) while Gold holds above $4,800 is a sign of strength, not weakness.
Bias: Consolidated Bullish / Floor Confirmation
GOLD (XAUUSD): Structural Support Test
Technical analysis: The current price of $4,817.5 represents a healthy pullback after testing the 48-hour ceiling at $4,871.5. Watch the floor of the 48-hour range: $4,699.91. Gold has raised its psychological floor by more than $100 in record time.
Technical reason: As long as the DXY does not recover the 98.50 level, Gold’s structure remains one of rising highs. The current decline is a technical gap fill designed to pick up institutional buyers who were left behind during the PPI jump.
BITCOIN (BTC): Volatility Compression
Bitcoin is showing extreme resilience. Its distance from the ATH (-41.32%) compared with Gold’s (-13.93%) suggests that BTC has much more proportional recovery fuel if the dollar keeps bleeding. Liquidity is concentrating around $73,500; as long as that level holds, the bias remains aggressively bullish.
The narrative of “runaway inflation” has been replaced by fear of a “debt-driven slowdown,” which keeps capital flowing out of cash (DXY) and into safe-haven and growth assets.
Data anchored to April 15, 2026. The DXY remains weak (97.78), validating yesterday’s breakdown. The US10Y is showing a mild technical correction (4.274). Gold and BTC are carrying out textbook technical pullbacks into their new support zones after the PPI release, while keeping their short- and medium-term bullish structures intact.

#Fed #BTC #PPI #DXY

In un sorprendente aggiornamento economico, l'ultimo Indice dei Prezzi alla Produzione Core (PPI) degli Stati Uniti è stato fissato al 3,8%, notevolmente al di sotto delle aspettative di mercato del 4,1%. Questi dati segnalano un potenziale raffreddamento delle pressioni inflazionistiche a livello di produttore — un indicatore chiave attentamente monitorato da investitori, responsabili politici e mercati globali.
📊 Che cos'è il Core PPI?
Il Core PPI misura la variazione media dei prezzi di vendita ricevuti dai produttori domestici, escludendo elementi volatili come cibo ed energia. Fornisce una visione più chiara delle tendenze inflazionistiche sottostanti ed è spesso considerato un indicatore anticipatore dell'inflazione dei consumatori.