◆ 晨訊 Morning Note｜11-07
截至09:30。
對賬：昨晚部署 2 個，均未成交。
美股短線實盤：過去 24 小時平倉 +4.25U（1 盈 0 虧）；自 2026-09-29 累計 +1.58U，最大回撤 11.73U；持倉 1 筆，浮動 -4.56U。
結論：Consolidation 未改，今日以防守為主。S&P 500 收 7,376.9 漲 0.31% 但近一月 -5.45%，Nasdaq 漲 1.09% 但近一月 -10.75%，VIX 25.6 近一月 +70.82%，Rebound 不構成轉向。10-Year 4.859%、DXY 102.3 抬高無息資產機會成本，BTC 76,016 美元 24 小時 +0.23% 屬等待；ARKK 減 AVGO -97%、加 NVDA +29% 是半導體內部再平衡，原因不明處不編。
PnL as of 09:30 UTC+8. Recap: 2 setups, none filled. Live US book: 24h closed +4.25U (1W/0L); +1.58U since 09-29, max DD 11.73U; 1 open (-4.56U).
Conclusion: consolidation persists, stay defensive today. S&P 500 closed 7,376.9, +0.31% but -5.45% over one month; Nasdaq +1.09% but -10.75% over one month; VIX 25.6, +70.82% over one month, so the rebound is not a turn. 10-Year at 4.859% and DXY 102.3 raise the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets; BTC at 76,016, +0.23% in 24h, is waiting, not turning. ARKK cutting AVGO -97% and adding NVDA +29% looks like semiconductor rebalancing; where the material is unclear, cause unknown.
截至09:30。
對賬：昨晚部署 2 個，均未成交。
美股短線實盤：過去 24 小時平倉 +4.25U（1 盈 0 虧）；自 2026-09-29 累計 +1.58U，最大回撤 11.73U；持倉 1 筆，浮動 -4.56U。
結論：Consolidation 未改，今日以防守為主。S&P 500 收 7,376.9 漲 0.31% 但近一月 -5.45%，Nasdaq 漲 1.09% 但近一月 -10.75%，VIX 25.6 近一月 +70.82%，Rebound 不構成轉向。10-Year 4.859%、DXY 102.3 抬高無息資產機會成本，BTC 76,016 美元 24 小時 +0.23% 屬等待；ARKK 減 AVGO -97%、加 NVDA +29% 是半導體內部再平衡，原因不明處不編。
PnL as of 09:30 UTC+8. Recap: 2 setups, none filled. Live US book: 24h closed +4.25U (1W/0L); +1.58U since 09-29, max DD 11.73U; 1 open (-4.56U).
Conclusion: consolidation persists, stay defensive today. S&P 500 closed 7,376.9, +0.31% but -5.45% over one month; Nasdaq +1.09% but -10.75% over one month; VIX 25.6, +70.82% over one month, so the rebound is not a turn. 10-Year at 4.859% and DXY 102.3 raise the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets; BTC at 76,016, +0.23% in 24h, is waiting, not turning. ARKK cutting AVGO -97% and adding NVDA +29% looks like semiconductor rebalancing; where the material is unclear, cause unknown.
