$TRUMP Near Its Low as Daily Unlocks Roll On
The Official Trump memecoin bounced about 9% to roughly $1.70 yesterday. It's still more than 95% below its January 2025 high, and tokens keep unlocking every day. This post is about the token, not politics. Here's the full picture đ
WHAT IT IS
TRUMP is a Solana memecoin launched in Jan 2025. It has no product or cash flow. Its price is mostly attention, headlines and trading volume.
THE NUMBERS
⢠Price: about $1.70
⢠High: about $73 (CoinGecko), so today is about 98% below it. Other sources list a lower high, but every version is down more than 95%.
⢠Low: about $1.37 on Aug 13, 2026. Today is about 24% above it.
⢠Market cap: about $480M. Fully diluted: about $1.7B.
⢠Volume: about $190M a day, which is high for a coin this size
SUPPLY AND UNLOCKS
⢠Max supply: 1B TRUMP
⢠Out now: about 282M (about 28%)
⢠Only about 20% was released at launch. Another batch of about 4% came in April 2025.
⢠Since Apr 20, 2025, a daily drip of about 0.049% of supply (about 493K TRUMP a day) goes to two insider wallets for 1,096 days. Other insider wallets reportedly joined in July 2025.
⢠The schedule runs to about April 2028
⢠About 80% of supply is assigned to insider-linked wallets once everything unlocks
Translation: there's steady new supply for another year and a half. Reported unlock figures differ by source, so treat the exact daily number as approximate.
WHAT'S MOVING IT NOW
⢠Oct 30: about $1.56, down 5% in the market-wide sell-off after the Binance hack
⢠Nov 1: about +9% to $1.73, with volume up about 48%
⢠I found no coin-specific news behind the bounce. One analysis called it speculative buying.
THE CHART
⢠Support: $1.60, then $1.50, then $1.40, then the $1.37 low
⢠Resistance: $1.75-$1.80
⢠A daily close above $1.80 would be the first real sign of strength
⢠30-day change is +15% on one site and about -16% to -21% on another, so the trend isn't clear
3 SCENARIOS
Bull: $1.60 holds, price closes above $1.80 on volume and heads for $2.00.
Base: it ranges between $1.50 and $1.80 while daily unlocks cap rallies.
Bear: $1.50 breaks and price retests $1.40, then the $1.37 low.
TRADE IDEA (analysis, not advice)
Entry zone: $1.55-$1.65 (example: $1.60)
Stop: daily close below $1.48
Targets: $1.80, then $2.00
Risk/reward: about 1.7:1 to the first target, 3.3:1 to the second
$2.00 is a round number, not a chart level, so don't count on it. Memecoins can fall 20% in hours. Small size only.
RISKS
⢠Constant unlock supply for about 17 more months
⢠No product, so price depends on attention
⢠News-driven spikes can reverse fast
⢠Thin attention in a weak market (Fear & Greed was 37)
⢠Market-wide risk after the Binance hack
MY TAKE
This is a trading chip, not a value story. The bounce is real, but daily supply and a weak trend limit the upside. $1.60 and $1.80 decide the next move.
Would you buy this dip or stay out? đ
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#TRUMP #Memecoin #Crypto