A 65% single-day drop and RSI sitting at 12.89 on the 4H — that low is usually where panic meets exhaustion. The question is whether this is a knife still falling, or one starting to bounce off the floor. Let’s read what the chart is actually saying.

The 4H picture is brutal but clean. Price has sliced through every short-term average; RSI at 12.89 is deeply oversold, but in a -65% day, oversold can stay oversold longer than feels comfortable. Volume has been enormous, with the heaviest traded price far above current levels — a big zone of trapped interest overhead. There’s also an unfilled gap from roughly 0.00445 to 0.00479, a pocket where price fell too fast for two-sided trading. Gaps like that often act as magnets later, but first price has to prove it can hold.

The level that matters most right now is ~0.00168. That’s the 24-hour low and the first place buyers have shown real interest. If $NFP can hold that area and build higher lows, the bounce could aim toward the 0.0021 pivot. But a 4H close below ~0.00168 likely stretches toward 0.00114 — a level the weekly chart points to as well. The invalidation for any short-term stabilization sits around 0.00191. Close back above that and the immediate bearish pressure starts to fade.

My read: mathematically stretched, but trend remains down until the 4H shows a higher low. The risk is catching it too early.

Follow me for the updated read if $NFP reclaims 0.00191 or loses 0.00168 — I’ll map the next likely path.

Which level are you watching more closely on $NFP 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.
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