Kevin Warsh Tak Memberi Petunjuk soal Keputusan The Fed pada Oktober, Sebut Perkembangan AI Akan “Sangat Berliku”

Coinpedia Fintech News · 2026-10-16T09:21:28.000Z

Berbicara dalam pertemuan tahunan IMF-Bank Dunia di Bangkok pada 16 Oktober, Ketua Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh tidak memberi petunjuk apakah The Fed akan kembali menaikkan suku bunga dalam rapat 27–28 Oktober, sehingga pasar tetap diliputi ketidakpastian setelah kenaikan suku bunga pada September. Sementara itu, Warsh juga memperingatkan bahwa kecerdasan buatan dapat mengubah perekonomian global, tetapi dampak jangka pendeknya akan sulit dikelola. Warsh Tak Memberi Petunjuk soal Keputusan Suku Bunga The Fed pada Oktober Dalam sesi bincang santai bersama Direktur Pelaksana Dana Moneter Internasional Kristalina Georgieva, Warsh mengatakan bahwa The Fed akan menentukan langkah selanjutnya berdasarkan kondisi ekonomi pada setiap rapat.

Speaking at the IMF-World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on 16 October, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh refused to signal whether the Fed will raise interest rates again at its October 27–28 meeting, keeping markets uncertain after September’s rate hike.
Meanwhile, Warsh also warned that artificial intelligence could transform the global economy, but its short-term impact will be difficult to manage.
Warsh Refuses to Signal October Fed Rate Decision
During a fireside chat with International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, Warsh said the Fed would decide its next move based on the economic situation at each meeting.
“I don’t prejudge meetings. I don’t believe in saying now what I might do at the meetings that we have in the balance of this year.”
He also made clear that the Fed would not offer advance signals about its rate decisions. 
“It’s a new chapter at the Fed [and] we’re not in that business anymore.”
September Rate Hike Was Necessary To Keep Inflation in Focus
Further commenting on the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate hike in September, which raised the target range to 3.75%–4%, Warsh said policymakers needed to reduce monetary support to bring inflation under control.
Despite Kevin Warsh offering no hints about the Fed’s next move, CME FedWatch data showed traders pricing in an 87.3% chance that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at its October meeting.
Warsh Warns AI Growth Could Be “Very Bumpy”
Beyond interest rates, Warsh described artificial intelligence as “probably the most consequential change to the U.S. and the global economy in my lifetime.”
He said the technology could make economies more productive and wealthier, but warned that the shift would not be smooth. 
“I want you to hear from me optimism, but optimism leavened by the seriousness of purpose.” 
He said AI could make economies more productive and wealthier, but warned that the transition would be “very bumpy.” 
Its near-term effect on jobs remains uncertain, while rising investment in AI infrastructure could also create price pressures.
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