RENCANA: ANALISIS PROFIL HARIAN $BTC

TraderLeumas · 2026-10-16T07:54:52.000Z

Selamat pagi, dan selamat datang semuanya. Berita PPI kemarin benar-benar meredam dampak negatif besar yang ditimbulkan CPI terhadap pasar, karena para pembeli dengan cepat membeli ketidakpastian dari penurunan kemarin, wkwk. Mereka mendorong harga kembali ke kisaran $82K hingga $82.5K, menembus area single print 14/10 yang sebelumnya berfungsi sebagai resistance saya, dan menemukan penerimaan di dalam area nilai 14/10. Area nilai hari sebelumnya bertumpang tindih dengan area nilai relatif bawah 14/10. Puncaknya adalah poor high, sedangkan titik terendahnya adalah good low. Area POC tidak ikut bergeser bersama harga saat harga bergerak naik, dan tingkat keyakinan keseluruhan pada hari sebelumnya rendah.

Good morning, and welcome, everyone.
Yesterday’s PPI news really softened the large negative impact CPI had on the market, as buyers quickly bought the uncertainty out of yesterday’s dip, lol. They pushed price back to the $82K to $82.5K range, taking out the 14/10 single print area, which had been acting as my resistance, and finding acceptance inside the 14/10 value area.
The previous day’s value area overlapped the lower relative value area of 14/10. The high was a poor high, while the low was a good low. The POC area didn’t migrate with price as price moved higher, and the overall confidence of the previous day was low.
Possible scenario 2 played out, as written in my previous day’s analysis.
Today’s openingThe market opened close to the previous day’s value area high and one-timeframed higher, but failed to take out the previous day’s high and reversed. At the time of writing, the market is moving in a choppy range, although I expect today to be a wide rotational day.
Profile structureThe current profile structure is balanced. The high is a poor high, while the low is a weak low sitting exactly at 28/08 high.
The POC area is in the middle of the profile, as neither buyers nor sellers are showing dominance at the moment. The current market confidence is low.
Market-generated information since the beginning of the week12/10: Poor high that needs to be repaired.
13/10: Poor high that needs to be repaired.
14/10: Weak high that needs to be repaired.
15/10: Poor high that needs to be repaired.
15/10: Wide POC area that needs to be revisited.
Current developing profile16/10: Poor high that needs to be repaired.
16/10: Weak low that needs to be repaired.
Possible scenariosMy dominant concern days have passed, although sellers are still much more active than buyers at the moment. Buyers were able to push price back into the $81.5K to $82.5K range, so these are the possible scenarios I’m watching today.
Scenario 1If the current low holds, I expect a move above the previous day’s poor high, with targets at the 5L/2026 high and 25/09 low.
Scenario 2If the weak low fails to hold, my downside targets will be the 4/09 high and the previous day’s POC area.