Whale Membuang 100 Juta DOGE dalam 5 Hari — Tetapi 71% Trader Masih Mengambil Posisi Long

Muhamamd Adeel · 2026-10-11T07:02:31.000Z

$DOGE bertahan di level dukungan $0.084 dengan satu tangan terikat di belakang punggungnya. Para whale baru saja membuang 100 juta DOGE dalam lima hari. ETF DOGE spot Bitwise akan dihapus dari pencatatan pekan ini — perdagangan terakhirnya pada 14 Oktober. Dan 71% akun Binance masih mengambil posisi long. Jadi, mengapa grafik ini baru saja mencetak golden cross harian pertamanya dalam 14 bulan? **Kondisi saat ini (DOGE ~$0.0855, 11 Okt):** Pekan ini berjalan buruk: turun 7,65% dalam 7 hari, dengan ekor candle pada 8 Oktober menyentuh $0.081 di tengah volume jual sekitar 127 juta DOGE. Data suplai Santiment menunjukkan dompet yang memegang 1M–100M DOGE telah melepas total 100M token sejak 6 Oktober. Ini pola distribusi yang textbook — dan prosesnya masih berlangsung.

$DOGE is clinging to $0.084 support with one hand tied behind its back.
Whales just dumped 100 million DOGE in five days. Bitwise's spot DOGE ETF is being deleted this week — final trading is October 14. And 71% of Binance accounts are still long.
So why did the chart just print its first daily golden cross in 14 months?
**The setup right now (DOGE ~$0.0855, Oct 11):**
The week was ugly: down 7.65% in 7 days, with an October 8 wick to $0.081 on roughly 127 million DOGE of sell volume. Santiment supply data shows wallets holding 1M–100M DOGE cut a combined 100M tokens since October 6. Textbook distribution — and it's still in progress.
But the selling looks exhausted. Volume collapsed from that 127M spike back to ~18M a day. DOGE is pinned near the bottom of its Bollinger Band, and on October 5 the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day for the first time in 14 months. The last time that signal fired (August 2025), DOGE ran to $0.30 within a month.
**Key levels — this is the trade:**
- Support: $0.084 (must hold on a daily close) → $0.078 → $0.070 below
- Resistance: $0.086 initial → $0.10–$0.11 (the real line; a close above it weakens the bear pattern)
- Bear target: FXEmpire's Yashu Gola warns of a bear-flag breakdown targeting $0.033 — about 60% lower
Watch the $DOGE chart inside this band. This is where the next move gets decided.
**Why this is actually interesting:**
October is DOGE's favorite plot twist. In October 2023 it punched through $0.06–$0.07 after months under a descending trendline and ran 246% in Q4. In October 2024, same script — broke out near $0.20 and rocketed 374% in Q4. Today's structure rhymes: months grinding down, a flush, then a golden cross firing from depressed levels.
And the ETF story? Bitwise CEO Horsley himself called BWOW's death "tragic" — but the fund held just $684K in assets. Its liquidation was never going to move the price. Meanwhile, the institution that actually matters here is crowded retail leverage: Binance open interest around $1.3B with 71% of accounts long. If $BTC catches a bid into the October 14 CPI week, meme beta tends to follow — crowded longs and all.
**The honest risks:**
- 71% of Binance accounts long with funding barely positive is long-squeeze fuel; a daily close below $0.084 opens $0.078, then $0.070
- Gola's bear-flag pattern targets $0.033 — a full 60% haircut if it plays out
- 5.26 billion new DOGE are minted every year (~$470M of new supply the market must absorb just to stay flat)
- The Musk catalyst keeps not happening — X Money launched fiat-only, and Tesla quietly trimmed DOGE from its payment pages in September
- Memecore just flipped SHIB as the #2 meme coin — capital rotates to shinier tokens
Dogecoin lost its ETF this week. The real question isn't whether that matters — it barely does. It's whether the golden cross and the October script matter more than the whale dump.
Check the $DOGE chart — the next 48 hours tell the story.
Not financial advice. DYOR.