Robinhood Chain had one of the fastest starts of any new network this year. The latest weekly data shows that momentum fading on almost every metric, per CoinDesk.

šŸ“Œ The news

Daily transactions averaged 6.2 million between October 2 and 8, down 42% from 10.8 million in mid-September. The chain runs on Arbitrum technology, which ties its activity to the wider $ARB ecosystem.

šŸ” Why it matters

• It is a live test of whether a brokerage can pull its users onchain and keep them there

• Fees have dropped hard: about $65,000 a day last week, against $8 million on its busiest day in early September

• Robinhood keeps roughly nine tenths of network fees, per a Bernstein note, so this is real revenue at stake

šŸ“Š The numbers

• Active addresses: about 322,000 a day, down 31% from mid-September

• Spot volume: $7.45 billion for the week, down 21%, with Uniswap handling about 77%

• Perpetual futures volume: about $7.35 billion, up 26%

• Deposits in lending and trading apps: about $1.04 billion, up around 2%

āš–ļø Bull vs bear case

Bull: deposits and perps are still growing, which suggests a core of committed users, and Robinhood is paying swap fees over $0.50 through December 31.

Bear: activity that depends on subsidies and reward points can fade once those end, and spot trading is already cooling.

šŸ‘€ What to watch next

• Whether transactions stabilise above 6 million a day, or keep sliding week after week

• The decision on paid transaction priority, which CoinDesk reports is under review

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šŸ’” My take: In my opinion a cooldown after a launch spike is normal. The stat I would watch is deposits, because users who park money onchain tend to stay longer than users who come for points.

šŸ’¬ Is a 40% drop after launch hype a warning sign or just normal settling?

#RobinhoodChain #Arbitrum #Layer2