š What are the morning star and evening star?
Both are 3-candle reversal patterns. They show a trend running out of steam, a pause, and then the other side taking over.
A morning star forms after a drop and can mark a bottom. An evening star forms after a rise and can mark a top. $BTC printed a clean morning star in early September, and $ETH printed an evening star right at its September top.
š Live chart in the cover and in the image post below.
š How to spot it
⢠Candle 1: a big body that goes with the trend. Big red in a drop (morning star), big green in a rise (evening star)
⢠Candle 2: the "star". A tiny body, any color, often with wicks. It shows buyers and sellers are now even
⢠Candle 3: a big body in the opposite direction
⢠Key rule: candle 3 must close past the MIDDLE of candle 1's body. If it doesn't, the pattern is weak
⢠Stronger when candle 3 has more volume than candle 1, and when it forms at a key support or resistance level
š How traders use it
⢠Entry: after candle 3 closes, or on a small pullback the next candle
⢠Stop-loss: past the pattern's extreme wick. Below the lowest low for a morning star, above the highest high for an evening star
⢠Target: the next support or resistance level, or at least 2x the risk
⢠Higher timeframes (4H, 1D) give more reliable stars than 5m or 15m charts
š§Ŗ Live example 1: $BTC morning star (daily, Sep 1-3, 2026)
⢠Sep 1, candle 1: red, $78,581 ā $77,439 (-1.5%)
⢠Sep 2, the star: $77,439 ā $77,340, a body of only ~$100, with a wick down to $76,264
⢠Sep 3, candle 3: green, $77,340 ā $81,270 (+5.1%), on 1.4x the volume of Sep 1
⢠Candle 3 closed far above the middle of candle 1 (~$78,010). A textbook signal
⢠The lesson: the pop did not last. BTC gave back part of it on Sep 4 and fell to $74,968 by Sep 15, under the star's low. A stop below $76,264 would have cut the loss small. Patterns give an edge, not a promise
š§Ŗ Live example 2: $ETH evening star (daily, Sep 21-23, 2026)
⢠Sep 21, candle 1: green, $2,645 ā $2,776 (+4.9%)
⢠Sep 22, the star: $2,776 ā $2,754, body of ~$22, high $2,778
⢠Sep 23, candle 3: red, $2,754 ā $2,685, under the middle of candle 1 (~$2,710)
⢠Weak spot: candle 3 had only 0.6x the volume of candle 1
⢠What happened next: ETH never closed above the star again. The Oct 2 wick hit $2,777 and was rejected. On Oct 7-8 ETH broke down to $2,406, about 13% under the star top
š§Ŗ Where BTC is now (Oct 10)
⢠Price about $82,580, daily RSI(14) 50.1, neutral
⢠Daily 20 EMA ~$83,200 above price, 50 EMA ~$79,900 below
⢠Oct 8 was a big red day ($83,322 ā $81,754), but Oct 9 went straight to green. No star in between, so this is NOT a morning star
⢠A real morning star would need a red day, then a tiny-body day holding above the $80,394 Oct 8 low, then a strong green close
⢠Evening star risk: if BTC pushes up into $83,200-83,500, a small star there followed by a big red close would be a warning
ā ļø Common mistakes
⢠Calling any 3 candles a star. The middle body must be small and candle 3 must pass candle 1's midpoint
⢠Trading it in the middle of a range, far from support or resistance
⢠Ignoring volume. A weak candle 3 means a weak signal
⢠No stop-loss. Example 1 shows how fast a good signal can fail
ā Quick checklist
⢠Is there a clear trend before it?
⢠Is candle 2's body tiny compared with candle 1?
⢠Does candle 3 close past candle 1's midpoint?
⢠Is it at a key level, with rising volume on candle 3?
⢠Is the stop past the extreme wick, sized to 1-2% risk?
š¬ Have you ever caught a morning star bottom, or got trapped by one? š
Not financial advice. DYOR.