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🌐 CRYPTO ASSETS
$BTC is near $81,300, down about 2% on the day after briefly breaking below the $81,000 range floor, while $ETH is near $2,420, down about 5% as ETF outflows weigh.
More than $1 billion in crypto liquidations have cleared in the sell-off, as $BTC and $ETH come under pressure from rising oil and Fed tightening risk.
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🛢️ ENERGY VECTORS
Brent crude is back above $100 and near $105, while WTI is near $92 to $93 as Houthi attacks on Saudi airports and US-Iran conflict uncertainty revive supply concerns.
The renewed oil surge is reviving inflation fears, creating another liquidity constraint for risk assets as energy costs move higher.
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🏦 FEDERAL RESERVE
The Fed raised rates 25 bps to 3.75%-4.00% in September, while September minutes signal another hike before year-end.
The 10-year yield is above 5%, near multi-decade highs, while CME FedWatch shows about 17% odds of an October hike versus about 70% for December.
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📊 TRADER CAPITAL TEST
Defensive capital stays focused on cash and short-duration exposure as oil and yields tighten liquidity, putting $BTC and $ETH under pressure after the support break.
Does the next move favor defensive positioning over buying the dip in $BTC and $ETH after the support break?
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