US new home sales beat expectations, but the data does not yet confirm a sustainable recovery

šŸ  US new home sales reached an annualized 684,000 units in August, up 6.4% from the previous month and well above expectations of around 620,000. However, July was revised sharply higher from 607,000 to 643,000 units, so the 6.4% increase is based on the revised figure.

šŸ“‰ The quality of the rebound remains mixed. The median price fell 5.8% year over year, while the average price declined 9.1% from July. Inventory stayed near 483,000 units, equal to 8.5 months of supply, suggesting builders still rely on lower prices and incentives to support sales.

šŸ“Š The 6.4% increase also carried a ±19.5% margin of error, while regional moves were highly uneven. The report was stronger than expected, but it looks more like a sales rebound supported by price cuts than clear evidence of a durable recovery in US housing demand.

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