Recent news highlights a sharp decline in market optimism regarding the U.S. CLARITY Act, with observers now highly doubtful it will become law in 2026. The chances originally plummeted to just 18% following the Democrats turning down the final crypto offer presented by the GOP.
The environment for the legislation has only deteriorated since that initial 18% figure made waves. During a procedural vote held on September 15, the Senate was unable to move the bill forward, ending in a tight 49 to 50 defeat. Consequently, the odds across prediction markets have experienced an even deeper drop.
The environment for the legislation has only deteriorated since that initial 18% figure made waves. During a procedural vote held on September 15, the Senate was unable to move the bill forward, ending in a tight 49 to 50 defeat. Consequently, the odds across prediction markets have experienced an even deeper drop.
