CLARITY Act Odds Collapse to 7%

Prediction markets now price only a 7% chance of CLARITY Act passage into law in 2026, down 58% from recent levels, per Polymarket.

The chart shows this wasn't sudden. Odds faded steadily from the 70s through summer before the final drop this month.

For traders: this doesn't resolve U.S. crypto market structure uncertainty, it confirms it remains open. GENIUS Act stays the one enacted framework in play for stablecoins, independent of CLARITY's fate.

positioning around a "regulatory clarity incoming" narrative now carries lower probability support than it did a quarter ago.

verify first. risk later. scale slowly. 🛡️

#CryptoRegulation #BTC