The CLARITY Act is suddenly becoming a real market catalyst for crypto, but I wouldn't put it above the Fed just yet. Polymarket odds for the bill becoming law in 2026 climbed from roughly 22% to around 32% after Senate Republicans released the revised final draft. Trump's agreement to major ethics provisions helped remove one of the biggest political roadblocks. The important part is what happens next. The Senate needs 60 votes for Tuesday's cloture vote, meaning Republicans still need meaningful Democratic support. And despite the concessions, opposition from banks, Democrats and other groups is already building again. For Bitcoin, I think CLARITY could create a strong crypto specific catalyst because actual regulatory clarity would change how institutions view the U.S. market. But the Fed is still the bigger macro variable. Markets are expecting a rate hike this week, with inflation still at 3.4% and oil prices adding more pressure. A hike could tighten liquidity across risk assets, including Bitcoin. So personally, I'm watching the interaction between both events. If CLARITY momentum continues while the Fed delivers a hike that markets have already priced in, crypto could absorb the macro shock surprisingly well. But if the Fed turns more hawkish than expected while CLARITY loses its 60 vote path, that's a very different setup. CLARITY can improve Bitcoin's regulatory story. The Fed still controls the liquidity story. The interesting question is which one the market cares about more this week. #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC #CLARITYAct