Bitcoinโ€™s Rally May Have Started Somewhere Else

Everyone noticed $BTC racing toward $69,700.

But the first important move may have happened outside crypto: in the U.S. Treasury market.

The Treasury increased the maximum size of its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation, with larger purchases of longer-dated Treasuries beginning September 9.

Then Treasury yields moved lower.

The 10-year yield fell about 6 bps to 4.647%, while the 30-year yield dropped roughly 9 bps to 5.196%.

And Bitcoin reacted soon after.

BTC moved from around $65,400 to $67,600, before reaching nearly $69,700 just minutes later.

That rapid breakout triggered another wave of buying.

Roughly $1.59 billion in crypto positions were liquidated, including around $746 million in Bitcoin sorts.

Once those short positions started getting wiped out, forced buying added even more momentum to move.

The sequence was straightforward:

Treasury buybacks โ†’ yields fall โ†’ risk appetite improves โ†’ Bitcoin rises โ†’ shorts get liquidated โ†’ BTC accelerates higher.

And this is an important distinction:

This was not QE.

The Federal Reserve did not suddenly restart its money-printing program.

The move began in the Treasury market, while Bitcoin came in afterward.

Then leverage turned the initial rally into a much bigger squeeze.

Now, September 9 becomes a date worth watching.

If Treasury yields react again, crypto markets could be watching closely.

Bond market first.

Bitcoin next.

Short squeeze last.

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoRally

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