#美联储降息预期
💥 The Fed has turned dovish, and the market is about to change!
The Fed has just announced its latest decision, with an overall tone that is very dovish (relatively loose).
They decided to lower interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, reducing the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%, and announced that they will complete asset reduction on December 1 (which means no more balance sheet reduction).
The statement mentioned:
1- Economic activity is still expanding at a moderate pace;
2- Employment growth is slowing, and the unemployment rate has risen slightly, but remains low;
3- Inflation has rebounded since the beginning of the year, but "still slightly rising";
4- The Fed believes that the downside risks to employment are increasing, and the economic outlook has become more uncertain.
👉 This is equivalent to acknowledging——
Inflation is no longer the biggest problem now,
what they are more worried about is the economy and employment.
So this rate cut is actually a preemptive defense against recession.
What does this indicate?
Rate cut = Decrease in funding costs, liquidity starts to warm up;
Stopping balance sheet reduction = No longer pulling out dollars, market pressure eases;
Increased risk appetite = Risk assets (especially cryptocurrencies) benefit.
Historically, every time the Fed shifts from tightening to loosening, Bitcoin often shows strong performance.
📈 In 2020, a large amount of money was released, BTC rose from 4,000 USD to 69,000.
📈 In 2023, expectations turned dovish, BTC rose again to around 45,000.
My own opinion:
Although this rate cut is not large, its significance is substantial.
It is a signal of a policy turning point.
The market may not immediately surge, but the direction of capital flow is slowly changing.
In the short term, there may still be fluctuations, but in the medium to long term,
The spring of Bitcoin and mainstream coins may really be coming back.
#降息 #BTC #ETH #利好
💥 The Fed has turned dovish, and the market is about to change!
The Fed has just announced its latest decision, with an overall tone that is very dovish (relatively loose).
They decided to lower interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, reducing the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%, and announced that they will complete asset reduction on December 1 (which means no more balance sheet reduction).
The statement mentioned:
1- Economic activity is still expanding at a moderate pace;
2- Employment growth is slowing, and the unemployment rate has risen slightly, but remains low;
3- Inflation has rebounded since the beginning of the year, but "still slightly rising";
4- The Fed believes that the downside risks to employment are increasing, and the economic outlook has become more uncertain.
👉 This is equivalent to acknowledging——
Inflation is no longer the biggest problem now,
what they are more worried about is the economy and employment.
So this rate cut is actually a preemptive defense against recession.
What does this indicate?
Rate cut = Decrease in funding costs, liquidity starts to warm up;
Stopping balance sheet reduction = No longer pulling out dollars, market pressure eases;
Increased risk appetite = Risk assets (especially cryptocurrencies) benefit.
Historically, every time the Fed shifts from tightening to loosening, Bitcoin often shows strong performance.
📈 In 2020, a large amount of money was released, BTC rose from 4,000 USD to 69,000.
📈 In 2023, expectations turned dovish, BTC rose again to around 45,000.
My own opinion:
Although this rate cut is not large, its significance is substantial.
It is a signal of a policy turning point.
The market may not immediately surge, but the direction of capital flow is slowly changing.
In the short term, there may still be fluctuations, but in the medium to long term,
The spring of Bitcoin and mainstream coins may really be coming back.
#降息 #BTC #ETH #利好