tokenunlocks

Pemimpin blockchain modular Celestia (TIA) menunjukkan performa lemah minggu ini. Menurut data Token Unlocks, token TIA yang mewakili 8% dari total pasokan yang akan dibuka, senilai sekitar 300 juta dolar, akan meningkatkan niat investor awal untuk merealisasikan keuntungan. Sementara itu, solusi EigenDA yang diluncurkan oleh pesaing EigenLayer karena biaya yang lebih rendah, sedang dengan cepat menggerogoti pangsa pasar Celestia.
Laporan penelitian Delphi Digital menunjukkan bahwa beberapa proyek Rollup yang awalnya direncanakan berdasarkan Celestia baru-baru ini mengumumkan migrasi ke ekosistem EigenDA. Menghadapi persaingan yang ketat dan dampak pasokan yang akan datang, aspek teknis telah jatuh di bawah dukungan kunci. Saran strategi "Short Selling" sampai tekanan jual yang terkunci selesai teratasi.

Beralih ke tahun 2026, sementara Bitcoin tetap mempertahankan posisinya sebagai "emas digital", pasar Altcoin justru mengalami fase stagnasi dan pemisahan yang tajam. Banyak analis, termasuk nama-nama seperti George Tung atau Michaël van de Poppe, telah menunjukkan 2 penyebab "fatal" yang sedang mengekang peluang terobosan dari koin-koin ini.

Altcoin cukup stagnan, tidak bisa terobosan
Berikut adalah analisis rinci.

Ever wondered why that hot new listing on Binance Futures suddenly starts a "slow bleed" after the first 48 hours? It's not usually a project failure—it's Structural Sell Pressure.
​After analyzing over 580+ coins on Binance Futures, a repeating "Decay Pattern" has emerged. Here is the breakdown of the strategy we built to trade this reality.
​🔍 The Origin of the Strategy
​Nearly 70% of assets trend lower after their initial listing period. We call this the "67% Negative Growth" Rule. The cause?
​The Exit Liquidity Event: Projects often launch with only 5%–15% float. When the remaining 85% starts unlocking, VCs who bought at $0.001 are ready to exit at $0.10.​The Retail Trap: Hype creates a price spike. Retail traders buy the "New Listing" tag, but 48 hours later, the "Smart Money" has finished selling, leaving the price with nowhere to go but down.
​🛡️ The Refined Rules of Execution
​1️⃣ Rule 1: The Valuation-Supply Mismatch (Selection)
Target assets where the FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) is at least 5x higher than the Market Cap. If "Locked Supply" is >80%, the asset is a priority candidate for a long-term bleed.
​2️⃣ Rule 2: The 48-Hour Hype Ceiling (Confirmation)
Monitor the first two days of a listing. If an asset sets an All-Time High (ATH) within 48 hours and fails to reclaim it within 5 days, the "Hype Phase" is over. We are now in Distribution.
​3️⃣ Rule 3: The "T-Minus 72" Entry (Timing)
Watch the supply-event calendar. The optimal short entry is 72 hours before a major unlock. This captures the "front-running" behavior of insiders moving assets to the exchange.
​4️⃣ Rule 4: The Overbought "Dead Cat" Fade (Precision)
Never "market short" a dump. Wait for a relief pump (a short-term bounce). Use the 1H or 4H chart to identify an overbought state. Enter when buying volume tapers off near a previous support-turned-resistance.
​5️⃣ Rule 5: The Crowded Trade Filter (Risk)
Always check the Funding Rate. If it’s significantly negative, avoid the short—a "Short Squeeze" is likely. Only enter when the rate is neutral or positive, meaning there's still a "long" bias to trade against.
​💡 Final Thoughts
​In crypto, the gravity of supply is the strongest force. By identifying assets with heavy inflation and weak post-listing momentum, you trade with the mathematical trend of the market.
​Which new listings are you watching this week? Let's discuss in the comments! 👇
​#tradingStrategy #BinanceFutures #CryptoAnalysis #tokenunlocks

Hari ini #kaito token dibuka 33.09M KAITO 3.31%

#KAITO <t-10/>#tokenunlocks

Januari adalah bulan dengan volatilitas tinggi. Jika Anda memegang token-token ini, perhatikan dengan seksama guncangan pasokan yang akan datang:
​$STRK (Starknet): 127 juta token akan dibuka pada 15 Jan. Harapkan beberapa tekanan penjualan.
​$ARB (Arbitrum): 92 juta token akan dibuka pada 16 Jan.
​$ZRO (LayerZero): Pembukaan besar akan datang antara 20-26 Jan.
​Tip Pro: Seringkali, pasar "memasukkan" pembukaan ini lebih awal. Jika Anda melihat penurunan tajam sebelum tanggalnya, itu mungkin jebakan beruang. Selalu periksa pasangan $FDUSD atau $USDC untuk entri yang stabil.