$XRP is currently at a massive technical crossroads. While short-term price action often feels like "noise," the higher timeframes are flashing a signal that has historically predicted major trend shifts.
Here is why every XRP holder needs to watch the Monthly Trend Ribbon right now. 📊
🔍 Why the Monthly Trend Ribbon Matters
The monthly trend ribbon isn't for day trading; it’s a structural momentum filter.
Above the Ribbon: The market is in a long-term "Bullish Regime."
Below the Ribbon: Momentum has flipped, often leading to "Extended Bearish Cycles."
Because this indicator uses slow-moving averages on the monthly chart, it filters out the daily volatility and shows us where the "big money" is actually positioned.
📜 Historical Lessons (The "Danger" Zones)
Analyst STEPH IS CRYPTO recently highlighted two specific times XRP lost this ribbon, and the results were significant:
2018 Breakdown: XRP fell below the ribbon and entered a crash that wiped out 65% of its value.
2022 Breakdown: History repeated itself, leading to a further 54% drop.
In both cases, losing the ribbon wasn't just a "dip"—it was the start of a multi-month downtrend.
⚖️ The Current Inflection Point
Right now, XRP is hovering directly on the ribbon. We are at a "make or break" moment.
Important Note: The warning signal only activates on a confirmed monthly close. Intramonth price swings (wicks) do not count.
The Bull Case: If XRP holds this level and closes the month above it, the long-term bullish structure remains intact, and the "warning" is invalidated.
The Bear Case: A confirmed close below the ribbon suggests downside momentum could accelerate, potentially pushing prices back toward major demand zones.
💡 Final Thought for Traders
XRP is at a defining technical moment. This isn't about news or hype—it's about historical price behavior. Whether we see a bounce or a breakdown here could determine the trend for the first half of 2026.
What do you think? Will XRP hold the line or is a deeper retracement coming? 👇
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