fedhawkishdotplot

My core market thesis remains completely unchanged. As anticipated, price action front-ran the quantitative easing narrative, and our June 16–17 timing window played out with precision.
## 🔍 Current Market Structure & Liquidity Snapshot
* Upside Exhaustion: The clear rejection from the $67.3K resistance level confirms that the bulk of buying liquidity has been swept.
* Downside Building: Sell-side liquidity pools continue to stack up heavily below current levels.
* Macro Headwinds: The Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) rate hike to 1% on June 16 triggered a slow-burn unwind of the yen carry trade. This macro pressure reinforces a near-term bearish trajectory.
* Current Spot Action: Bitcoin is currently breaking down, slipping below the $63,000 threshold.
## 📉 The Two-Step Short Execution Plan
[Current Spot: <$63K] ──> [Target 1: $61K–$62K] ──> (Relief Bounce) ──> [Target 2: $49K–$55K]
## 1. First Major Target ($61K – $62K)
* Action: Ideal zone for short-term traders to scale out and secure partial profits.
* Outlook: Expect a brief, volatile relief bounce here as late-stage shorts get trapped. [3, 11, 12, 13]
## 2. Ultimate Bottoming Range ($49K – $55K)
* Action: My personal target to fully take profits on remaining shorts and rotate capital.
* Outlook: This represents a standard 20–25% macro correction from the local high. I will begin accumulating long positions aggressively inside this pocket for the next structural bull phase.
## ⚡ The Bottom Line
Lower before higher. Capitalize on this final shakeout before the macro liquidity engines flip back on.
#FedHawkishDotPlot #YieldCurve #YenCarryTradeUnwind #StraitOfHormuz #BitcoinGeopolitics #CryptoMacro
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