ada

#ada #eth
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Cardano is currently trading around 0.2584 on the weekly timeframe, revisiting a major historical demand zone.

Macro structure remains bearish with a clear sequence of lower highs from the 2024–2025 cycle peak. Price has now retraced back to the same support region that previously triggered strong reactions.

📊 Weekly Structure Breakdown

• Major lower high formed below $1.20 region

• Sustained distribution throughout 2025

• Persistent sell pressure with declining bullish momentum

• Price now retesting the 0.25 demand cluster

This level previously acted as accumulation before expansion.

📍 Critical Weekly Zones

🟢 Major Demand: 0.24 – 0.26

Multi-cycle reaction area with prior volume expansion.

🟡 Mid-Range Resistance: 0.35 – 0.40

Previous breakdown structure.

🔴 Primary Supply Zone: 0.55 – 0.65

Origin of major impulsive weekly selloff.

📈 Bullish Macro Scenario

if#ADA :

• Prints a strong bullish weekly close above 0.30

• Confirms higher low structure

• Shows expanding weekly volume

Then macro accumulation thesis strengthens.

Upside path opens toward:

0.35 → 0.40 initially.

📉 Bearish Continuation Scenario

Weekly close below 0.24 would invalidate current demand.

Next probable liquidity targets:

• 0.20 psychological level

• 0.18 historical base region

That would confirm continuation of macro bearish order flow.

📊 Momentum Context

• MACD bias remains negative

• No confirmed bullish divergence on weekly

• Selling pressure still dominant

However — momentum is weaker than previous distribution waves.

🧠 Conclusion

This is a decision zone.

Weekly timeframe suggests:

Either long-term accumulation forming

or final liquidity sweep before continuation.

Patience is critical at HTF levels.

⚠ Risk Management:

Weekly setups require wider stops and smaller size.

Always monitor Bitcoin macro direction before committing capital.

Is this long-term accumulation — or another lower high loading?

What’s your macro bias on #ada ? 👇

#ada

🏦 $ADA 4H — Liquidity Map & Order Flow

Cardano remains in a HTF downtrend (LL / LH from ~0.36 → 0.25).

Current price is compressing at 0.2657 after a capitulation event (Feb 5–6 volume spike).

🔎 Narrative

• Breakdown from 0.30 created a supply shift

• Sell-side liquidity taken near 0.25

• Weak relief rally to ~0.28 (failed to reclaim structure)

• Now ranging: 0.255 – 0.275

Market is building energy. Expansion likely at range extremes.

📍 Liquidity Levels (From This Chart)

🟢 Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): 0.252 – 0.255

Resting stops below equal lows.

🟡 Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): 0.272 – 0.275

Multiple 4H rejections → clustered stops above.

🔴 Major Supply: 0.288 – 0.295

Origin of prior impulsive leg down.

📈 Playbook

Scenario A — BSL Sweep → Continuation

4H close above 0.275 + volume expansion.

Targets:

• 0.288 (first imbalance fill)

• 0.295 (supply test)

Invalidation:

4H close back inside range < 0.268

R:R ≈ 1:2 to 1:3 (depending on entry refinement)

This is a counter-trend liquidity run, not full reversal.

Scenario B — SSL Sweep → Trend Continuation

Clean break below 0.252.

Targets:

• 0.240

• 0.228 (next HTF demand probe)

Structure would confirm continuation of bearish order flow.

📊 Momentum Context

• MACD bearish bias but flattening

• Volatility contraction inside range

• No bullish structure shift yet (no HH on 4H)

Conclusion:

Range environment. Trade the edges.

Breakout + displacement = momentum trade.

No displacement = fade extremes.

⚠ Risk Notes

• Position size ≤ 2% risk

• Wait for 4H close confirmation

• Monitor Bitcoin stability before aggressive exposure

Are you fading liquidity or waiting for displacement?

Comment your bias 👇
#ADA # #BTC