#USRetailSalesMissForecast Date: February 11, 2026
📊 New U.S. retail sales data shows consumer spending unexpectedly stalled in December 2025, defying expectations and signaling slower momentum at the start of 2026 🧊. Instead of rising as economists forecasted, total retail sales were essentially flat, pointing to caution among American shoppers. �
Trading Economics +1
🔍 What Happened? 🛒
📉 Retail sales were unchanged in December — lower than the forecasted 0.4% increase analysts expected. �
Trading Economics
Excluding auto dealers and gas stations, retail sales also ticked down slightly — a key indicator used in GDP calculations. �
Investing.com
Several categories such as electronics, furniture, and clothing saw declines, while some like building materials and online sales showed modest gains. �
AP News
💡 Why This Matters to the Economy 🧠
US retail sales are a major driver of economic growth — nearly two-thirds of the economy comes from consumer spending. A miss like this suggests:
🔹 Consumers are tightening their wallets as inflation and prices stay high 🪙
🔹 Economic growth may slow earlier than expected 📉
🔹 GDP forecasts could be revised downward 🌐
🔹 Markets may react with added volatility 📊
Economists also note that consumer confidence is at its lowest since 2014, reflecting broader worry about the economy even as wages slow and job growth softens. �
AP News
📈 Market & Policy Impact 📌
🪙 Crypto & Risk Assets
Market sentiment often shifts on weak retail data — as traders reassess risk appetite, volatility can rise across cryptocurrencies and equities alike 📉📈.
🏦 Federal Reserve
With consumer spending weakening, traders may predict that the Federal Reserve could delay interest rate increases, or even lean toward cuts later in 2026 to support growth 🧠.
📉 Stocks
Equity markets have been cautious: futures show weak signals — the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures trading slightly softer after the retail update. �
Forex
🧠 Key Takeaways 🔎
✔ Retail sales flatlined in December instead of growing
✔ Consumer caution is rising
✔ Core retail (excluding big categories) pulled back
✔ Economic growth forecasts may be trimmed
✔ Markets could remain choppy ahead of more macro data
✨ Bottom Line:
US consumers are slowing down, and when retail sales miss forecasts, it raises red flags about the economy’s health — and that’s a story every trader and investor should watch closely. 📊👀.
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