Stellar Rebondit Après Des Creux Récents Alors Que XLM Prend De L’ élan Vers 0,25

BITZ0 · 2026-10-02T07:51:14.000Z

Le XLM de Stellar était coté à 0,2228 $ le 1er octobre, le plaçant juste au-dessus d’une zone de support à court terme, après un rebond suite à une récente faiblesse. La configuration dépend désormais de la capacité des acheteurs à faire passer le jeton à travers plusieurs niveaux de résistance situés de près avant que le marché puisse, de façon crédible, tester la zone des 0,25 $ dans le scénario mis en avant. Le contexte comprend des développements récents liés aux réseaux et aux paiements. Le fonds de balayage de liquidité on-chain de State Street Galaxy (Onchain Liquidity Sweep Fund) est entré en ligne sur Stellar le 29 septembre, tandis que BVNK a ajouté Stellar à sa plateforme de paiement par stablecoins multi-chaînes, comme relais pour les paiements transfrontaliers, les versements aux commerçants et les décaissements de trésorerie. Ces évolutions n’établissent pas de cause directe pour le mouvement du prix de XLM, mais elles apportent un nouvel éclairage sur l’écosystème pendant que les traders évaluent la situation technique.

Stellar’s XLM was quoted at $0.2228 on October 1, placing it just above a near-term support area after a rebound from recent weakness. The setup now turns on whether buyers can carry the token through several closely spaced overhead levels before the market can credibly test the $0.25 area in the headline scenario.
The backdrop includes recent network and payments-related developments. State Street Galaxy’s Onchain Liquidity Sweep Fund went live on Stellar on September 29, while BVNK added Stellar to its multi-chain stablecoin payments platform as a rail for cross-border payments, merchant payouts and treasury disbursements. Those developments do not establish a direct cause for XLM’s price movement, but they add fresh ecosystem context as traders assess the technical picture.
On the daily timeframe, the available readings point to positive momentum rather than an already overextended move. The immediate question is narrower: can XLM preserve $0.221 support and overcome resistance at $0.2275, $0.23641 and $0.2409?
XLM’s daily indicators show momentum without an overbought reading
The daily RSI (14) stood at 63.44 on October 2, a bullish reading that remained below the conventional overbought threshold, according to CoinMarketCap CMC AI. That leaves the indicator supportive of upside momentum without, on its own, signalling the type of stretched condition often associated with a near-term reversal.
MACD was also positive on the daily chart. Taken together, the positive MACD and RSI reading describe a market with upward momentum, though neither indicator removes the need for price to clear the resistance levels directly overhead.
XLM was above its 14-day simple moving average of $0.2154 and its 50-day SMA of $0.1899 in October 2 readings published by Blockspot. The 50-day SMA was also above the 200-day SMA, which was listed at $0.1801, a configuration the source described as a golden cross. Price holding above the shorter 14-day average matters most for the immediate recovery; the wider separation from the 50-day average provides the more durable bullish backdrop in the supplied data.
Other analysis reached a similar higher-timeframe conclusion. CoinMarketCap’s October 2 assessment described XLM’s structure as bullish, citing price above the 50-day SMA and a positive MACD, and identified roughly $0.236 as the key breakout area. That makes the swing-high resistance more consequential than a single favorable oscillator reading.
Fundamental developments have arrived alongside this chart setup. Stellar Protocol 28 activated on mainnet on September 16, introducing CAP-83, CAP-85 and CAP-86. Separately, the Stellar Development Foundation said the Soroban Rust SDK v28 added contract-data migration support, spec shaking v2, sparse event publishing, executable references and native contract uploads in tests. These are network and developer updates, not technical price signals, but they form part of the recent news flow around Stellar.
The institutional and payments announcements are likewise distinct from a price forecast. The Stellar Development Foundation reported that State Street Galaxy’s fund went live on the network, and said BVNK’s integration expanded its stablecoin platform to Stellar. For the chart, the measurable evidence remains the daily momentum readings and whether buyers can convert them into a break through resistance.
XLM support at $0.221 and the resistance ladder toward $0.254
At the October 1 spot reference of $0.2228, the nearest meaningful support was $0.221. It combines the seven-day EMA with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement in the supplied analysis, putting it only marginally below spot. A sustained hold above that level would preserve the immediate recovery structure; losing it would shift attention to the daily pivot supports beneath it.
LevelRoleSupplied basis$0.221Nearest supportSeven-day EMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement$0.2142SupportFirst daily pivot support$0.2092SupportSecond daily pivot support$0.2008SupportThird and strongest listed daily pivot support$0.2275First resistanceFirst daily pivot resistance$0.23641Breakout resistanceRecent swing high and stated near-term breakout level$0.2409ResistanceThird daily pivot resistance$0.254Conditional extension127.2% Fibonacci extension after a decisive swing-high break
On the upside, $0.2275 is the first obstacle above the quoted spot price. A move through that pivot would still leave XLM below the more important $0.23641 recent swing high, which is identified as the near-term breakout level. CoinMarketCap’s October 2 analysis likewise highlighted $0.236 as the key threshold.
Even a move through $0.23641 would not complete the path toward the headline’s $0.25 area. XLM would next need to overcome $0.2409, the third daily pivot resistance. Only after a decisive swing-high break does the supplied analysis identify $0.254 as a 127.2% Fibonacci extension. That is a conditional extension level, not evidence that XLM is assured to reach it.
The downside ladder is clearer if $0.221 fails to hold. The first daily pivot support sits at $0.2142, followed by $0.2092. A move below both would expose $0.2008, described in the supplied figures as the strongest listed pivot support. These levels provide the points at which the current bullish short-term interpretation would become progressively weaker.
XLM price prediction: $0.25 requires a confirmed break above $0.2409
The readings leave room for an attempt to continue higher: XLM’s $0.2228 spot reference was above the $0.221 support zone, the 14-day and 50-day moving averages were below price, daily MACD was positive, and the RSI of 63.44 had not reached the conventional overbought threshold. They do not, however, confirm that a breakout has already occurred, so the $0.25 scenario remains technically plausible but conditional.
For the case to strengthen, XLM would need to maintain $0.221 and break the resistance sequence in order: $0.2275, the $0.23641 swing high, and $0.2409. A confirmed move through the latter would put the price beyond the listed resistance cluster immediately below $0.25. The supplied $0.254 Fibonacci extension then offers a technical reference above the title target, provided the analysis’s condition of a decisive swing-high break is met.
The key constraint is that the route is stacked with resistance. A rejection at $0.2275 would leave XLM below its first daily pivot barrier; failure at $0.23641 would mean the identified breakout level remains intact. The market would need to show that these levels have been cleared rather than merely approached before a $0.25 call gains stronger technical support.
Conversely, a loss of $0.221 would weaken the near-term rebound thesis and focus the market on $0.2142, then $0.2092. A deeper retreat toward $0.2008 would be inconsistent with the immediate upside structure implied by the current daily indicators. Recent Stellar protocol, developer, institutional and payments developments may remain relevant background for market attention, but the $0.25 outcome ultimately depends on price holding support and confirming breaks through the stated resistance ladder.
Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.