$BTC reclaiming the 50 week EMA is definitely worth paying attention to, especially after the recent volatility. But that 84% historical success rate needs some context. Bitcoin has gone through very few complete market cycles, so I wouldn't treat one technical signal as confirmation that the bear market is over. What matters now is whether BTC can hold above the EMA rather than just briefly reclaiming it. If we start seeing higher weekly closes, stronger spot volume and consistent ETF inflows, then the breakout becomes much more convincing. I'd also be watching funding rates and open interest. A rally driven by genuine spot demand is a very different setup from one fuelled by overleveraged longs chasing green candles. $90K is a level worth watching, but getting there needs more than one bullish weekly close. For me, the real confirmation is BTC holding its gains when the market pulls back. If buyers keep defending the breakout while leverage stays under control, that's when the longer-term trend starts looking interesting again. 👀