#DAILY TRADES IDEA (BTC)
1) Sell‑the‑rally short (primary bias until proven otherwise)
• Trigger: Rejection from $76,200–$76,800 or $77,500–$78,000 with a bearish daily/4H candle (long upper wick, close in lower half).
• Target 1: $75,000–$75,200
• Target 2 (if $75k breaks): $73,500–$73,000
• Invalidation: Sustained daily close above $78,500 (would suggest breakdown was a fakeout).
2) Breakdown continuation long‑side hedge
• Trigger: Daily close below $74,900–$75,000 with volume.
• Play: Short on retest of $75,000–$75,400 as new resistance.
• Target: $73,500, then $72,000.
3) Counter‑trend long only at major support
• Zone: $73,500–$73,000
• Trigger: Bullish reversal pattern (hammer, engulfing) on daily + RSI divergence.
• Target: Back toward $75,500–$76,500, then $78,000.
• Stop: Daily close below $72,500.
Bias: Bearish to neutral while price is below $77k and daily momentum is negative.
1) Sell‑the‑rally short (primary bias until proven otherwise)
• Trigger: Rejection from $76,200–$76,800 or $77,500–$78,000 with a bearish daily/4H candle (long upper wick, close in lower half).
• Target 1: $75,000–$75,200
• Target 2 (if $75k breaks): $73,500–$73,000
• Invalidation: Sustained daily close above $78,500 (would suggest breakdown was a fakeout).
2) Breakdown continuation long‑side hedge
• Trigger: Daily close below $74,900–$75,000 with volume.
• Play: Short on retest of $75,000–$75,400 as new resistance.
• Target: $73,500, then $72,000.
3) Counter‑trend long only at major support
• Zone: $73,500–$73,000
• Trigger: Bullish reversal pattern (hammer, engulfing) on daily + RSI divergence.
• Target: Back toward $75,500–$76,500, then $78,000.
• Stop: Daily close below $72,500.
Bias: Bearish to neutral while price is below $77k and daily momentum is negative.