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#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced

⚡ **Inflation is back in the spotlight, and crypto is paying attention.**

According to your source post, October CPI came in at **0.4% vs 0.3% expected**, with Core CPI at **0.3% vs 0.2% forecast**. 😳 For a market already on edge, a hotter print is the last thing traders wanted.

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## 🏩 The Fed Backdrop Was Already Tense

This wasn't a calm market to begin with. đŸŒȘ

đŸ”č The Fed held its target range at **3.75%–4%** on October 28, with a 10–2 vote. Two officials, Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack, preferred a quarter-point **increase**.

đŸ”č The next meeting is **December 8–9**, so more data will arrive before policymakers vote again. đŸ—“ïž

đŸ”č Ahead of the CPI release, futures already priced a high chance of a December hike, about 77% in one report. 📊

In that setting, a hotter number adds fuel to the fire. đŸ”„

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## 📊 What the Post Says About Rate Expectations

🔾 A **25 bps December hike** remains the base case

🔾 **50 bps hike odds** reportedly jumped to **15.3% from 1.1%** ⚠

🔾 **Rate cuts** are being pushed further into **2027** ⏳

⚠ These figures come from your source post and I couldn't verify them independently.

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## ₿ Bitcoin Under Pressure

Bitcoin was already weak going in. Reuters reported on November 9 that BTC fell more than 2% to $73,708, its lowest since August. 📉

Your post says BTC then dropped to **$73,762**, testing the **$73,100 200-day moving average**, with **$179M–$200M+** in leveraged positions liquidated. đŸ’„

🎯 **Why $73.1K matters:** the 200-day MA is a widely watched trend line. Holding it keeps the bigger picture intact, while a clean break could invite more selling. ⚖

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## 🌍 Why CPI Hits Crypto

đŸ”č **Hot inflation → higher rate expectations.** 📈

đŸ”č **Higher rates → stronger dollar and rising yields.** đŸ’”

đŸ”č **Tighter liquidity → pressure on risk assets** like $BTC, $ETH and $XRP. đŸȘ™

Bitcoin's supply rules don't change with a CPI report, but its **price reacts through liquidity and sentiment**. 🧠

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## 🔎 Headline vs Core

Headline CPI can be pushed around by energy. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, shows underlying price pressure. 🧐 In the previous report, gasoline jumped 9.1% and drove more than half the monthly headline increase, while core rose 0.3%. If core stays sticky, the Fed has less room to ease. đŸ›ïž

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## 👀 What to Watch Next

đŸ”č Whether **BTC holds $73.1K** đŸ›Ąïž

đŸ”č **Fed hike odds** on CME FedWatch 📊

đŸ”č The **dollar index and Treasury yields** đŸ’”

đŸ”č **Leverage and liquidation data** đŸ’„

đŸ”č More **inflation and jobs data** before December 8–9 đŸ—“ïž

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## 🎯 Final Thought

This is a **macro-driven test for crypto.** đŸ§Ș If $BTC defends its 200-day MA, bulls may argue the worst is priced in. If it breaks, another sell-off wave could follow. 🌊 The Fed, the dollar and yields are in control for now. 🏩

⚠ *Not financial advice. Markets are volatile. Always DYOR.*

#CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #Inflation

#StablecoinSupplyDrops$14.2BIn30Days #TradFiForBeginners #BitcoinETFsLose$1.6BInNovember #AnthropicDisclosesOver$10BNewComputeDeals

**Sources:**

- [Brave New Coin: Bitcoin CPI preview](https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/bitcoin-cpi-preview-inflation-three-tests)

- [CryptoActu: CPI and the December Fed decision](https://cryptoactu.com/cpi-americain-77-chances-dune/)