Oil Prices Plunge as US Midterm Results Raise Hopes of an Iran War De-Escalation

Summary

Global oil prices recorded a sharp weekly decline as US midterm election results increased market expectations of a possible diplomatic path toward ending the Iran war.

However, ongoing attacks on vessels in the Persian Gulf continue to create uncertainty over global energy supplies.

Key Points

🔮 WTI crude oil fell from a weekly high of $102.75 to $86.65 per barrel.

🔮 Brent crude declined from $106.65 to $93.40 per barrel.

📉 WTI December futures lost approximately $13 during the week.

📉 Brent crude dropped nearly $15 compared with the previous week.

⚠ Despite falling prices, geopolitical risks remain elevated due to continued attacks on shipping routes.

Market Insight

The oil market is balancing two competing forces.

On one side, hopes for a potential Iran war settlement could increase Middle Eastern oil supply and reduce the geopolitical risk premium.

On the other side, continued threats to shipping routes, refinery disruptions and regional military tensions could trigger another sharp price rebound.

The key question is whether diplomatic progress can translate into a lasting improvement in energy supply conditions.

Key Levels to Watch

WTI Crude Oil:

đŸ”č Support: $88.30

đŸ”č Resistance: $93.00

Bottom Line

Oil markets are shifting from war-driven supply fears toward expectations of possible de-escalation. However, until a credible peace agreement emerges, volatility is likely to remain elevated.

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