$BTC

📱📱 Bitcoin does not move entirely in lockstep with bond yields, even though the two are linked through financial conditions and risk appetite

​When yields rise due to higher real interest rates and a tighter monetary policy, the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin increases, whilst capital flows may favour income-generating assets

Conversely, if yields fall alongside improving liquidity and expectations of policy easing, the valuation environment for Bitcoin may turn more positive

​However, a decline in yields driven by recession fears or a surge in demand for safe-haven assets does not necessarily translate into a positive outcome for high-risk assets

$ETH


​Clearly, what matters is not merely whether 10-year yields are rising or falling, but the underlying drivers behind this movement

A rise in yields driven by robust economic growth can have a very different implication to one driven by inflationary pressures or an expanding term premium

Similarly, a fall in yields caused by easing inflation differs from a sharp decline prompted by recession risks

$TMF

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