BTC: 4h favors SHORT, while entry timing still needs a return to the zone and a fresh 15m review.
đŽ SHORT $BTC /USDT · ANALYSIS PLAN
Status: Wait for the retest; 15m confirmation pending.
The case
âą Last closed 4h candle below EMA50 81358.2 and EMA200 82130.6; 1h trend bearish.
âą 1h RSI 52.3: momentum is neutral.
âą 15m DI+ 22.6 > DIâ 21.6: against SHORT; ADX 15.6, limited trend strength.
The levels
Entry: 80046.8 â 80136.1
TP1: 79823.4 (-0.3% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 79777 (-0.4% | 0.88R) [4h swing]
TP3: 79675.7 (-0.5% | 1.16R) [1h swing]
SL: 80448.7 (+0.4%)
Percentages and R use the entry-zone midpoint, before costs.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then reassess a closed 15m candle.
Main risk: 15m ADX 15.6 shows limited trend strength; follow-through may stall.
Invalidation: SL 80448.7, 4h no longer supports SHORT, or 1h turns against it.
If triggered: 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3; move stop to entry after TP1.
TP1: R-based projections, not observed support/resistance.
Updated 26 Oct 16:21 UTC | Expires 26 Oct 16:51 UTC
Conditional market analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
đŽ SHORT $BTC /USDT · ANALYSIS PLAN
Status: Wait for the retest; 15m confirmation pending.
The case
âą Last closed 4h candle below EMA50 81358.2 and EMA200 82130.6; 1h trend bearish.
âą 1h RSI 52.3: momentum is neutral.
âą 15m DI+ 22.6 > DIâ 21.6: against SHORT; ADX 15.6, limited trend strength.
The levels
Entry: 80046.8 â 80136.1
TP1: 79823.4 (-0.3% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 79777 (-0.4% | 0.88R) [4h swing]
TP3: 79675.7 (-0.5% | 1.16R) [1h swing]
SL: 80448.7 (+0.4%)
Percentages and R use the entry-zone midpoint, before costs.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then reassess a closed 15m candle.
Main risk: 15m ADX 15.6 shows limited trend strength; follow-through may stall.
Invalidation: SL 80448.7, 4h no longer supports SHORT, or 1h turns against it.
If triggered: 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3; move stop to entry after TP1.
TP1: R-based projections, not observed support/resistance.
Updated 26 Oct 16:21 UTC | Expires 26 Oct 16:51 UTC
Conditional market analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
