Cardano is sitting on a line drawn in June: $0.225.

The uptrend from the June $0.1382 low runs right through here, with the 100-day EMA at ~$0.2198 underneath it. Two daily closes at or below that line this week — both reclaimed. Below is air to $0.2111 (the Oct 18 low); lose it and it's $0.1954 (Fib 0.382), then the June line fails completely.

Above is the ceiling: EMA20 at $0.233, EMA50 at $0.228, a $0.23–0.24 resistance band that's rejected price all week. 14 green days in the last 30, RSI 44.7 — bouncing, not breaking. No base confirmed yet. This is a test, not a call.

The fundamental side is quietly stacking up: Hoskinson is personally building a new Cardano programming language (intents + Groth16 proofs), teased a Midnight concept, the Amaru alternative node client goes beta Oct 27, and Cardano just printed its biggest transaction epoch on record (1.78M txs, Oct 6–11). Rank #17, $8.4B — nobody talks about it because the price is boring. That's usually when it matters.

Setup: daily close above $0.234 with real volume → $0.2824 (Oct 6 high) is the first objective. Daily close below $0.2111 → the base case is dead.

$ADA — does the June line hold, or does the floor give way?