JPMorgan Asset Management has included Bitcoin in its long-term return forecasts for the first time. Its base case points to an annualized return of 10% over the next 10–15 years, compared with 7.5% for U.S. large-cap stocks, 8.2% for REITs and 5.5% for gold.
The forecast also comes with an estimated 55% volatility. Bitcoin hasn’t been added as an allocation in the firm’s main portfolio models, so this is a return projection—not a portfolio recommendation or a guarantee.
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