Tonight, ~$49M in unlock supply meets the tape: $ZRO (~23.3M tokens) and $KAITO (~17.6M) both unlock today, with KAITO's scheduled 19:00 WIB.
Scorecard from this morning's Radar: ZRO was $1.916 at 07:14. Nine hours later it's $1.90 — the $1.76–$1.82 shelf held (lowest 4h print $1.829), the $1.70 line never tested. Today's heaviest 4h volume (1.37M ZRO) printed midday with no dump — if part of the unlock landed early, the market absorbed it.
Three scenarios for unlock night. Absorbed: $1.93–$1.99 breaks, the "unlocks always dump" crowd covers. Chop: $1.82–$1.93 range, supply digested slowly — one tracker counts 12.8% average worst drawdown within nine days after past unlocks. Crack: a 4h close under $1.70 retires the thesis; the project's own disclosure says 63.8% of investor-unlocked ZRO was still held in May, but disclosures aren't flows.
My read: the tape, not the calendar, decides. $KAITO sits at $0.273 (-1.9%) on thin $638K volume — the quieter setup.
Does $ZRO hold $1.82 through tonight's unlock, or does supply crack it toward $1.70? NFA. DYOR.
$ZRO $KAITO #CryptoNews #LayerZero #TokenUnlock #Altcoins
Scorecard from this morning's Radar: ZRO was $1.916 at 07:14. Nine hours later it's $1.90 — the $1.76–$1.82 shelf held (lowest 4h print $1.829), the $1.70 line never tested. Today's heaviest 4h volume (1.37M ZRO) printed midday with no dump — if part of the unlock landed early, the market absorbed it.
Three scenarios for unlock night. Absorbed: $1.93–$1.99 breaks, the "unlocks always dump" crowd covers. Chop: $1.82–$1.93 range, supply digested slowly — one tracker counts 12.8% average worst drawdown within nine days after past unlocks. Crack: a 4h close under $1.70 retires the thesis; the project's own disclosure says 63.8% of investor-unlocked ZRO was still held in May, but disclosures aren't flows.
My read: the tape, not the calendar, decides. $KAITO sits at $0.273 (-1.9%) on thin $638K volume — the quieter setup.
Does $ZRO hold $1.82 through tonight's unlock, or does supply crack it toward $1.70? NFA. DYOR.
$ZRO $KAITO #CryptoNews #LayerZero #TokenUnlock #Altcoins