Here is SOL detailed Technical Analysis - Today, Oct 19:

- Price: $105.84 (+2.09%)

- 24H Low/High: $100.43 / $105.99

- Market Cap: $60.83B

- ATH: $295.9 (now -64% down)

BULLISH CASE (Long)

Trigger: Break & close above $105.99

Confirmation:

- RSI is 48.32 and rising, not overbought yet (neutral zone)

- MACD just gave bullish crossover, histogram turning green

- Volume spike at $100.43 low shows buyers defended

Targets:

1. $110.59 (major resistance)

2. $115 (breakout target)

3. $125 if BTC holds $84k

Catalyst: Alpenglow Upgrade on Oct 21 - finality from 12.8s to 150ms. This is a strong fundamental bullish event.

Invalidation: If daily closes below $100.43

BEARISH CASE (Short)

Trigger: Rejection at $105.99 or break below $100.43

Confirmation:

- Down 44.5% in 1 year, market says 82% probability to drop below $100 by month-end

- Volume increased during drop from $112 to $103 = active selling

- $81k-$86k BTC overhead = SOL will follow if BTC drops

Targets:

1. $100.43 (support)

2. $97 (liquidity sweep target)

3. $92.50 (next strong support)

Invalidation: If closes above $110.59

My Bias Right Now: NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY BULLISH FOR SHORT TERM

Reason: SOL defended $100.43 very well with wick, plus upgrade news. But I would not FOMO long at $105.84.

Best Plan:

- Scalp Long: $103.5 - $104 retest with SL $100.2, TP $109

- Swing Long: Wait for $100 sweep to $97-99 zone, then long with SL $94