SOL in a short-term stack below key averages.

🔮 SHORT $SOL /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 103.3393 – 103.5207
TP1: 101.9943 (-1.4%)
TP2: 101.0372 (-2.3%)
TP3: 99.6015 (-3.7%)
SL: 105.3443 (+1.9%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, close 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3, and move the stop to entry after TP1.
Note: moderate conviction only, keep size light.

Why SHORT? 4/12 signals agree, 0 against.
‱ 4h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
‱ 1h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
‱ Sellers are pushing right now (−0.08% 15m candle)

Journal note: SOL
I'm watching SOL for a short from the 1h entry zone. I want to see the price stay below the 1h EMA50 and EMA200 as the 4h trend remains down, and I am using the 15m RSI to gauge if sellers keep control. The daily trend is range, so this is a swing trade, not a breakout. Conviction is moderate because only 4 of 12 factors agree. The strongest supporting factor is the 4h bearish stack, meaning price below EMA50 below EMA200, while the main risk is that the daily trend is range, meaning the big picture is undecided and the move could stall.

Where would you place your invalidation level?

Full setup on the chart below.

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