$BTC : I’ve talked about this many times before, but I’ve never explained this part in such detail.
Another interesting detail in Bitcoin’s long-term structure:
The uptrend and downtrend angles have been compressing significantly from cycle to cycle.
Since my thesis is that the bottom is not in yet and the true cycle bottom is still ahead, I want to focus specifically on the downtrend angles.
So far we have : 46.43° → 27.68° → 15.41°
The compression between these cycles was:
46.43° → 27.68° = −40.38%
27.68° → 15.41° = −44.33%
So historically, the compression has been roughly 40–44%.
If we apply a similar compression to the previous 15.41° downtrend angle, the current cycle would logically fall around 8.6°–9.2°.
That gives us a projected angle of approximately 8.69°.
And interestingly, this projected angle points toward a potential $36K–$32K cycle-bottom area.
If the same structural compression continues into the next cycle, the downtrend angle could flatten even further toward ~5.15°.
This isn’t based on a single indicator.
It’s a structural projection based on the historical compression of Bitcoin’s downtrend angles from cycle to cycle.
Another interesting detail in Bitcoin’s long-term structure:
The uptrend and downtrend angles have been compressing significantly from cycle to cycle.
Since my thesis is that the bottom is not in yet and the true cycle bottom is still ahead, I want to focus specifically on the downtrend angles.
So far we have : 46.43° → 27.68° → 15.41°
The compression between these cycles was:
46.43° → 27.68° = −40.38%
27.68° → 15.41° = −44.33%
So historically, the compression has been roughly 40–44%.
If we apply a similar compression to the previous 15.41° downtrend angle, the current cycle would logically fall around 8.6°–9.2°.
That gives us a projected angle of approximately 8.69°.
And interestingly, this projected angle points toward a potential $36K–$32K cycle-bottom area.
If the same structural compression continues into the next cycle, the downtrend angle could flatten even further toward ~5.15°.
This isn’t based on a single indicator.
It’s a structural projection based on the historical compression of Bitcoin’s downtrend angles from cycle to cycle.