đš BITCOIN CANâT RECLAIM $81K â THE FED HIKE FEAR IS COOLING, BUT SELLING PRESSURE REMAINS!
The panic over another Fed rate hike is fading, yet Bitcoin is still struggling to recover the $81,000 level. So, whatâs keeping BTC under pressure? đ
INFLATION SHOCK & FED EXPECTATIONS
September CPI climbed to 3.7% year-over-year, while core inflation reached 2.6%âboth coming in above expectations.
Initially, markets raised the probability of an October Fed rate hike to nearly 50%.
But sentiment quickly shifted. By late Wednesday, CME FedWatchâs estimate had dropped to around 26%, with Reuters later reporting that it had fallen below 25%.
SO WHY IS BTC STILL WEAK?
The answer may go beyond interest-rate expectations.
BITCOIN ETF FLOWS TURN NEGATIVE
October 13: $175.7M in net inflows
October 14: $150.5M in net outflows
That sharp reversal highlights how quickly institutional demand can changeâeven when fears of an immediate rate hike begin to ease.
đ WHAT TRADERS SHOULD WATCH NEXT
đč Inflation: Will persistent price pressures keep the Fed cautious?
đč Treasury yields: Will bond yields stabilize or continue rising?
đč Spot BTC ETFs: Can institutional inflows return after the latest outflows?
đč Market sentiment: Will investors regain confidence in risk assets?
Remember, markets pricing in three rate hikes through 2027 does NOT mean three hikes are about to happen immediately.
đŻ MY KEY TAKEAWAY
A decline in rate-hike expectations alone may not be enough to trigger Bitcoinâs next recovery. BTC needs stronger demand, improving ETF flows, and a more supportive macro environment.
Until those signals align, volatility and downside risks remain on the table.
đŹ YOUR THOUGHTS: Is Bitcoin reacting to the inflation outlook itselfâor is uncertainty about the Fedâs next move creating even more selling pressure?
đ Share your view in the comments!
$BTC $ETH $BZ
#CPIWatch #BTCFallsBelow200WeekMA #TradersBetOnThreeMoreFedHikes #USSeptemberCPIRisesTo3.7%
â ïž Not financial advice.
The panic over another Fed rate hike is fading, yet Bitcoin is still struggling to recover the $81,000 level. So, whatâs keeping BTC under pressure? đ
INFLATION SHOCK & FED EXPECTATIONS
September CPI climbed to 3.7% year-over-year, while core inflation reached 2.6%âboth coming in above expectations.
Initially, markets raised the probability of an October Fed rate hike to nearly 50%.
But sentiment quickly shifted. By late Wednesday, CME FedWatchâs estimate had dropped to around 26%, with Reuters later reporting that it had fallen below 25%.
SO WHY IS BTC STILL WEAK?
The answer may go beyond interest-rate expectations.
BITCOIN ETF FLOWS TURN NEGATIVE
October 13: $175.7M in net inflows
October 14: $150.5M in net outflows
That sharp reversal highlights how quickly institutional demand can changeâeven when fears of an immediate rate hike begin to ease.
đ WHAT TRADERS SHOULD WATCH NEXT
đč Inflation: Will persistent price pressures keep the Fed cautious?
đč Treasury yields: Will bond yields stabilize or continue rising?
đč Spot BTC ETFs: Can institutional inflows return after the latest outflows?
đč Market sentiment: Will investors regain confidence in risk assets?
Remember, markets pricing in three rate hikes through 2027 does NOT mean three hikes are about to happen immediately.
đŻ MY KEY TAKEAWAY
A decline in rate-hike expectations alone may not be enough to trigger Bitcoinâs next recovery. BTC needs stronger demand, improving ETF flows, and a more supportive macro environment.
Until those signals align, volatility and downside risks remain on the table.
đŹ YOUR THOUGHTS: Is Bitcoin reacting to the inflation outlook itselfâor is uncertainty about the Fedâs next move creating even more selling pressure?
đ Share your view in the comments!
$BTC $ETH $BZ
#CPIWatch #BTCFallsBelow200WeekMA #TradersBetOnThreeMoreFedHikes #USSeptemberCPIRisesTo3.7%
â ïž Not financial advice.