ATN 126 200$ - a year ago on October 6, 2025, Bitok put this figure
What was:
- halving April 2024
- peak on October 6, 2025, 534 days after the halving. Classically it's 500-550
- then the bear. Low 57.8K at the end of June, 266 days after the peak, minus 54%
- rebounded from low by +51% to 87.4K in September
And here is the first nuance. In the past two cycles from peak to bottom went 363 and 376 days, almost exactly a year. According to this logic, the bottom should be now in October-November. And the low was put in June, that is, 100 days earlier
There are two options. Or the cycle has contracted and June is the bottom. Or June is not the bottom, and the real one is yet to come, somewhere at the end of the year. I don't know yet, and no one knows, it's just historical facts
What's next in the history of cycles
The new peak of the bit was 28-38 months after the previous one. From October 2025 is February-December 2028. The next halving is April 2028. The coincidence is not accidental
That is, if the cycle has not broken - there is a year and a half of accumulation ahead, and a new one not earlier than 2028$BTC
