#Ripple
đ $XRP Caught in a 4-Year "Trap": Why Another 2 Years of Sideways Movement Could Lie Ahead?
Crypto analysts are once again discussing XRPâs historical cycles. Technical analysis shows the asset trapped in a narrow $1.30â$1.59 range, exhibiting extreme Bollinger Band compression on the weekly chart.
This is a clear signal: the market is entering another prolonged accumulation phase.
âł Is the 4-Year Cycle Repeating?
September and October have traditionally marked the start of a grueling period of sideways movement (flat trading) for XRP. The coinâs history has already seen two nearly identical periods:
1. September 2018 â November 2020 (2 years of total stagnation)
2. September 2022 â November 2024 (2 years of consolidation)
Current trends suggest that history is poised to repeat itself for a third time, pointing toward October 2026.
âïž The $3.1 Billion Open Interest Paradox
The main anomaly of the current sideways trend is the massive amount of capital in the market:
Open Interest (OI) on Coinglass is hovering near a record $3.1 billion.
In previous cycles, capital flowed out of the coin during stagnation, whereas the market is currently awash with liquidity.
Despite this, the price remains stuck; the RSI is stalled at 44, indicating a complete lack of momentum in either direction.
â ïž A "meat grinder" for leveraged traders
The narrow trading range is methodically wiping out the accounts of both leveraged bulls and bears:
Any attempt by bears to push the price below $1.30â$1.34 is instantly met with buying pressure, liquidating short positions.
Any attempt by bulls to break through $1.50 hits a wall of sell limit orders.
đ $XRP Caught in a 4-Year "Trap": Why Another 2 Years of Sideways Movement Could Lie Ahead?
Crypto analysts are once again discussing XRPâs historical cycles. Technical analysis shows the asset trapped in a narrow $1.30â$1.59 range, exhibiting extreme Bollinger Band compression on the weekly chart.
This is a clear signal: the market is entering another prolonged accumulation phase.
âł Is the 4-Year Cycle Repeating?
September and October have traditionally marked the start of a grueling period of sideways movement (flat trading) for XRP. The coinâs history has already seen two nearly identical periods:
1. September 2018 â November 2020 (2 years of total stagnation)
2. September 2022 â November 2024 (2 years of consolidation)
Current trends suggest that history is poised to repeat itself for a third time, pointing toward October 2026.
âïž The $3.1 Billion Open Interest Paradox
The main anomaly of the current sideways trend is the massive amount of capital in the market:
Open Interest (OI) on Coinglass is hovering near a record $3.1 billion.
In previous cycles, capital flowed out of the coin during stagnation, whereas the market is currently awash with liquidity.
Despite this, the price remains stuck; the RSI is stalled at 44, indicating a complete lack of momentum in either direction.
â ïž A "meat grinder" for leveraged traders
The narrow trading range is methodically wiping out the accounts of both leveraged bulls and bears:
Any attempt by bears to push the price below $1.30â$1.34 is instantly met with buying pressure, liquidating short positions.
Any attempt by bulls to break through $1.50 hits a wall of sell limit orders.