Position sizing is where most crypto portfolios quietly bleed out — not from bad picks, but from bad sizing.

The common mistake: treating every trade as equally weighted. You deploy the same capital into a high-conviction $BTC accumulation thesis as you do into a speculative altcoin breakout. When the speculative bet goes wrong, it erases the gains from the conviction play.

A better framework: conviction tiers.

Tier 1 (Core, 50-60%): Assets where you understand the fundamentals, have a long time horizon, and can tolerate volatility. $BTC and $ETH belong here. These are not trades — they are positions.

Tier 2 (Tactical, 25-35%): Assets with clear catalysts or ecosystem tailwinds. Ecosystem growth stories, development milestones, or enterprise adoption qualify. Sized to matter, but not to break you.

Tier 3 (Speculative, 10-15%): High-risk, asymmetric bets. New narratives, emerging protocols, micro-caps. Only capital you can afford to lose entirely.

The discipline is not picking the right tier — it is not letting a Tier 3 bet bleed into Tier 2 sizing when excitement takes over. $BNB holders who stuck to core-tier discipline through volatile cycles know exactly what this means.

Conviction-weighted sizing protects the portfolio from your own optimism. That is the edge most retail traders never develop.

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