🔮 SHORT $ETH /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 2533.97 – 2538.97
TP1: 2492.49 (-1.7%)
TP2: 2463.17 (-2.9%)
TP3: 2419.19 (-4.6%)
SL: 2595.11 (+2.3%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, take half at TP1, then move the stop to entry.
Caution: counter-trend setup against the bigger trend, only 6 signals confirm it. Size down, respect the stop.

ETH faces a counter-trend short bias against the daily trend.

Why SHORT? Leaning call, 6/12 signals agree, 2 against, 4 undecided.
‱ 1h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack → the short-term trend is down
‱ Trend strength (ADX/DI, 15m): ADX 31.4 with sellers in control (DI+ 10.5 vs DI− 33.0) → sellers are driving the move
‱ BTC backdrop: BTC trend is bearish and correlation is 0.92 → BTC is falling and this coin tends to follow
Risk: Daily trend: price > EMA50 > EMA200, bullish stack → the big-picture trend is up

The 1h trend is bearish and the 1h RSI is at 32.8, confirming short-term sellers are in control. This is a counter-trend reversal bet against a higher-timeframe bullish trend, so size down and respect the stop at 2595.11.

Where do you set your invalidation level, and is the daily bullish trend still intact for you?

Chart with every level below.

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